Conf =  A2                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Tom Blackford         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5942078    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     3- 8   
 405 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 85.9)    16- 8   
 407 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 84.2)    15- 8   
 409 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 7, 85.6)    12- 9   
 414 N Christian Bros Acad    NY C  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 82.2)    10-14   
 416 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     7-15   
 417 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 81.6)    14-11   
 421 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 72.2)    20- 3   
 422 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 91.4)     6-10   
 425 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 84.2)    16-15   
 429 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-15, 64.2)    22- 2   
 501 H Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 81.9)    12- 4   
 503 H Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (19- 6, 90.7)     7- 6   
 506 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 86.7)    13-11   
 509 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 7, 85.6)     8- 6   
 510 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 86.7)    10-11   
 513 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     8- 9   
 516 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 79.6)    17-12   
 527 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 79.6)    18- 9   
 529 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 81.6)    11- 5   
 601 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Brighton, NY            3- 8      -5   -12          n/a  
   405 H Bethlehem              16- 8       8     3          n/a  
   407 H Liverpool              15- 8       7     4    +      2.01
   409 A Cicero-North Syracuse  12- 9       3     2           0.97
   414 N Christian Bros Acad    10-14      -4     6    ---  -10.19
   416 H West Genesee            7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   417 A Auburn                 14-11       3     5    -     -2.96
   421 H Oswego                 20- 3      17    17           0.00
   422 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      6-10      -4    -2          n/a  
   425 A Liverpool              16-15       1     3    -     -2.36
   429 H Rome Free Academy      22- 2      20    24           0.00
   501 H Henninger-Nottingham   12- 4       8     7           0.68
   503 H Skaneateles             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.53
   506 A Baldwinsville          13-11       2     0           1.15
   509 H Cicero-North Syracuse   8- 6       2     3          -1.66
   510 H Baldwinsville          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.48
   513 A West Genesee            8- 9      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   516 H Corcoran-Fowler        17-12       5     9    --    -4.59
   527 H Corcoran-Fowler        18- 9       9     9          -0.59
   529 H Auburn                 11- 5       6     7          -1.59
   601 N West Genesee            7-13      -6   -11    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 N Christian Bros Acad    10-14      -4     6    ---  -10.19
   516 H Corcoran-Fowler        17-12       5     9    --    -4.59
   417 A Auburn                 14-11       3     5    -     -2.96
   425 A Liverpool              16-15       1     3    -     -2.36
   510 H Baldwinsville          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A West Genesee            8- 9      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   401 A Brighton, NY            3- 8      -5   -12    ++         
   405 H Bethlehem              16- 8       8     3    ++         
   601 N West Genesee            7-13      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   407 H Liverpool              15- 8       7     4    +      2.01
   416 H West Genesee            7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   503 H Skaneateles             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.40 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.73 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/