Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Mary Flavin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8264923    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 96.0)     5-14   
 403 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.1)     4-16   
 416 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 77.1)   
 420 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.3)     9-14   
 423 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.1)    10-11   
 425 A North Tonawanda Club   NY Club       ( 0- 8, 72.0)   
 427 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 96.0)     6-16   
 428 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 94.6)    10-17   
 430 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.1)     5- 9   
 502 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 77.1)    13- 4   
 504 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)     4- 9   
 507 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.3)    11- 5   
 508 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)     4-13   
 511 H North Tonawanda Club   NY Club       ( 0- 8, 72.0)   
 512 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 76.7)   
 515 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.1)     7-16   
 515 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 90.6)  8
 522 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.3)     7- 6   
 524 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Orchard Park            5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   403 H East Aurora             4-16     -12    -9          -0.97
   420 A Clarence                9-14      -5    -4          -0.29
   423 H East Aurora            10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.03
   427 A Orchard Park            6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   428 A Niagara-Wheatfield     10-17      -7   -12    +      3.00
   430 H Frontier                5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.01
   502 A Lockport               13- 4       9     5    +      3.58
   504 A Lancaster, NY           4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   507 H Clarence               11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.22
   508 H Lancaster, NY           4-13      -9    -9           0.90
   515 A Frontier                7-16      -9    -8          -0.50
   522 A Clarence                7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.71
   524 A Lancaster, NY           8-12      -4   -12    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H East Aurora            10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.03
   507 H Clarence               11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.22
   524 A Lancaster, NY           8-12      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   504 A Lancaster, NY           4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   522 A Clarence                7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.71
   428 A Niagara-Wheatfield     10-17      -7   -12    +      3.00
   430 H Frontier                5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.01
   502 A Lockport               13- 4       9     5    +      3.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.79 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.47 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/