Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Debbie Smith          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.4129333    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 69.3)    10- 9 2o
 403 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (18- 2, 99.9)     2-20   
 412 A Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (10-10, 81.9)     8-12   
 418 N East Irondequoit       NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 81.1)     5-13   
 420 N Arcadia-Olympia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 67.6)    12- 6   
 424 A Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)     8- 6   
 426 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.4)    11-12   
 428 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)     2-10   
 501 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-19, 63.0)    11- 3   
 504 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)     7-14   
 508 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 97.3)     4-16   
 511 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.4)     6-11   
 512 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-19, 63.0)    13- 2   
 514 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)     5-10   
 516 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 93.1)     4-22   
 518 H Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     6-13   
 521 H Arcadia-Olympia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 67.6)    12- 5   
 523 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 93.1)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Churchville-Chili      10- 9 2o    1     8    ---   -7.15
   403 A Brighton, NY            2-20     -18   -23           0.00
   412 A Marcus Whitman          8-12      -4    -5           1.78
   418 N East Irondequoit        5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.66
   420 N Arcadia-Olympia        12- 6       6     9    -     -3.13
   424 A Brockport               8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.16
   426 H Spencerport            11-12      -1     2    -     -3.01
   428 N Webster Thomas          2-10      -8   -15    +      2.00
   501 A Aquinas Institute, NY  11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   504 A Gates-Chili             7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   508 H Penfield                4-16     -12   -19           0.00
   511 H Fairport                6-11      -5    -8    +      3.98
   512 A Aquinas Institute, NY  13- 2      11    13           0.00
   514 H Gates-Chili             5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   516 A Rush-Henrietta          4-22     -18   -16           0.00
   518 H Pittsford-Mendon        6-13      -7    -5          -1.32
   521 H Arcadia-Olympia        12- 5       7     9    -     -2.80
   523 A Rush-Henrietta          5-13      -8   -16    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Churchville-Chili      10- 9 2o    1     8    ---   -7.15
   418 N East Irondequoit        5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.66
   420 N Arcadia-Olympia        12- 6       6     9    -     -3.13
   426 H Spencerport            11-12      -1     2    -     -3.01
   501 A Aquinas Institute, NY  11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   521 H Arcadia-Olympia        12- 5       7     9    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Brockport               8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.16
   514 H Gates-Chili             5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   428 N Webster Thomas          2-10      -8   -15    +      2.00
   504 A Gates-Chili             7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   511 H Fairport                6-11      -5    -8    +      3.98
   523 A Rush-Henrietta          5-13      -8   -16    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.76 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.21 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/