Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Comets               Coach  =   Dan Gruschow          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.9142609    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     3-19   
 403 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (18- 3, 95.8)     4- 7   
 414 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.4)    16- 2   
 424 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)    17- 5   
 426 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)    10- 9   
 428 H Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)    14- 2   
 501 A East Irondequoit       NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 81.1)    19- 4   
 502 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (18- 2, 99.9)     7-11   
 504 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     7-19   
 507 H Arcadia-Olympia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 67.6)    23- 3   
 508 N Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-11, 86.9)    17- 8   
 509 A Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)    10- 4   
 511 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 97.3)     4- 8   
 514 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.5)     8-13   
 516 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 76.8)    22- 4   
 519 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.4)    17- 7   
 523 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 76.8)    13- 5   
 529 N Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)    17- 5   
 531 N Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 97.3)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A West Genesee            3-19     -16    -7          n/a  
   403 A Penn Yan Academy        4- 7      -3    -3           0.41
   414 A Spencerport            16- 2      14    16           0.00
   424 N Webster Thomas         17- 5      12     0    +++    9.03
   426 H Gates-Chili            10- 9       1     5    --    -4.94
   428 H Brockport              14- 2      12    15           0.00
   501 A East Irondequoit       19- 4      15    11           0.00
   502 H Brighton, NY            7-11      -4    -6    +      2.17
   504 H Corning East            7-19     -12    -5          n/a  
   507 H Arcadia-Olympia        23- 3      20    26           0.00
   508 N Ithaca                 17- 8       9     6          n/a  
   509 A Pittsford-Mendon       10- 4       6     9    -     -3.27
   511 A Penfield                4- 8      -4    -4           0.87
   514 A East Rochester          8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.84
   516 H Webster Schroeder      22- 4      18    16           0.00
   519 H Fairport               17- 7      10     7    +      2.68
   523 H Webster Schroeder      13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   529 N Gates-Chili            17- 5      12     5    ++     4.73
   531 N Penfield                7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Gates-Chili            10- 9       1     5    --    -4.94
   504 H Corning East            7-19     -12    -5    --         
   327 A West Genesee            3-19     -16    -7    -          
   509 A Pittsford-Mendon       10- 4       6     9    -     -3.27
   514 A East Rochester          8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.84
   523 H Webster Schroeder      13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Webster Thomas         17- 5      12     0    +++    9.03
   529 N Gates-Chili            17- 5      12     5    ++     4.73
   502 H Brighton, NY            7-11      -4    -6    +      2.17
   508 N Ithaca                 17- 8       9     6    +          
   519 H Fairport               17- 7      10     7    +      2.68
   531 N Penfield                7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.05 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.28 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/