Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Monarchs             Coach  =   Tyrone Allison        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0982742    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 89.2)    10- 9   
 402 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 8, 82.6)    11-10   
 420 H Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 89.4)     6- 7   
 421 H Newark, NY             NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 81.8)    10- 6   
 423 H Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 73.5)    12- 4   
 426 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (13- 7, 88.6)    10-11   
 428 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.4)     4- 7   
 430 H Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (10-10, 81.9)     9- 8   
 504 H Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-19, 63.0)    12- 1   
 505 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 65.9)    10- 6   
 507 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (16- 4, 93.5)     9-10  o
 509 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 74.4)     9- 8   
 511 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 74.4)    12- 5   
 512 A Newark, NY             NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 81.8)    12-13   
 514 A Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     8- 9   
 516 A Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (10-10, 81.9)    10- 9   
 519 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-19, 63.0)    14- 3   
 521 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-13, 68.9)    14- 4   
 523 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 89.4)    13-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Corning West           10- 9       1    -5          n/a  
   402 A Irondequoit            11-10       1     1          -0.33
   420 H Waterloo                6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.12
   421 H Newark, NY             10- 6       4     3           0.47
   423 H Midlakes               12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   426 H Victor                 10-11      -1    -3    +      2.27
   428 A Fairport                4- 7      -3    -2          -0.57
   430 H Marcus Whitman          9- 8       1     3    -     -2.46
   504 H Aquinas Institute, NY  12- 1      11    22           0.00
   505 H Oswego                 10- 6       4    19          n/a  
   507 H Canandaigua Academy     9-10  o   -1    -8    +++    7.22
   509 A Livonia                 9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.54
   511 H Livonia                12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   512 A Newark, NY             12-13      -1     2    -     -3.19
   514 A Pittsford-Mendon        8- 9      -1     0          -1.86
   516 A Marcus Whitman         10- 9       1     2          -1.11
   519 A Aquinas Institute, NY  14- 3      11    20           0.00
   521 H Mynderse Academy       14- 4      10    16           0.00
   523 A Waterloo               13-14  o   -1    -5    ++     4.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Oswego                 10- 6       4    19    ---        
   509 A Livonia                 9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.54
   423 H Midlakes               12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   430 H Marcus Whitman          9- 8       1     3    -     -2.46
   511 H Livonia                12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   512 A Newark, NY             12-13      -1     2    -     -3.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Corning West           10- 9       1    -5    +++        
   507 H Canandaigua Academy     9-10  o   -1    -8    +++    7.22
   523 A Waterloo               13-14  o   -1    -5    ++     4.46
   420 H Waterloo                6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.12
   426 H Victor                 10-11      -1    -3    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.64 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.95 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/