Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Don Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.2515488    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 N Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 69.3)    13- 5   
 403 N Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.4)     6- 3   
 416 N Arcadia-Olympia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 67.6)    13- 2   
 418 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 76.8)    13- 5   
 420 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.5)     2-16   
 423 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)     5-15   
 427 A Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)     7- 6  o
 501 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 93.1)     4-19   
 502 A Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     5- 7   
 504 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 74.4)    13- 5   
 508 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 4, 92.8)     1-12   
 510 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)     5-12   
 512 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 74.4)    10- 4   
 514 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 69.3)    17- 6   
 516 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 8, 82.6)    10-11   
 518 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-14   
 522 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 N Churchville-Chili      13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   403 N Spencerport             6- 3       3     5    -     -2.68
   416 N Arcadia-Olympia        13- 2      11    13           0.00
   418 N Webster Schroeder      13- 5       8     4    +      3.66
   420 H East Rochester          2-16     -14   -11           0.00
   423 H Gates-Chili             5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.98
   427 A Brockport               7- 6  o    1     2          -1.18
   501 H Rush-Henrietta          4-19     -15   -11           0.00
   502 A Pittsford-Mendon        5- 7      -2    -2           0.69
   504 A Livonia                13- 5       8     5    +      2.01
   508 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      1-12     -11   -12           0.00
   510 H Webster Thomas          5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   512 H Livonia                10- 4       6     7          -1.34
   514 A Churchville-Chili      17- 6      11    11           0.00
   516 A Irondequoit            10-11      -1    -2           1.22
   518 H Brighton, NY            3-14     -11   -18           0.00
   522 A Webster Thomas          4-15     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 N Churchville-Chili      13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   403 N Spencerport             6- 3       3     5    -     -2.68
   423 H Gates-Chili             5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 N Webster Schroeder      13- 5       8     4    +      3.66
   504 A Livonia                13- 5       8     5    +      2.01
   510 H Webster Thomas          5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.09 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.48 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/