Churchill                     3 - 9


 
                                     Region = MD 4A                  
   Nickname = D Bulldogs                                              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   71.8513184    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Damascus               MD 4A         ( 6- 6, 70.6)    11-14   
 324 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD 3A         ( 9- 4, 72.7)     8-15   
 328 A Richard Montgomery     MD 4A         ( 0- 8, 55.0)    20- 7   
 412 H Wootton                MD 4A         (11- 3, 75.1)     9-13   
 414 A Watkins Mill           MD 4A         ( 0- 9, 57.4)    14- 6   
 417 H Walt Whitman, MD       MD 4A         ( 6- 9, 67.3)     9-12   
 420 A Quince Orchard         MD 4A         ( 9- 3, 74.1)     8-16   
 423 H Sherwood, MD           MD 4A         (12- 5, 74.0)     7-15   
 425 H Northwest              MD 3A         ( 5- 6, 63.4)    13- 6   
 427 A Walter Johnson         MD 4A         ( 0- 8, 62.1)   
 501 H St. Andrew's, DC       DC ISL AA     (12- 5, 80.6)     4-13   
 504 A Springbrook            MD 4A         ( 8- 5, 70.5)    10-11   
 512 A Wootton                MD 4A         (11- 3, 75.1)     7-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Damascus               11-14      -3    -5    +      2.11
   324 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase    8-15      -7    -8           1.79
   328 A Richard Montgomery     20- 7      13     8           1.01
   412 H Wootton                 9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.54
   414 A Watkins Mill           14- 6       8     6           1.41
   417 H Walt Whitman, MD        9-12      -3    -1          -1.28
   420 A Quince Orchard          8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   423 H Sherwood, MD            7-15      -8    -8           0.48
   425 H Northwest              13- 6       7     2    ++     4.88
   501 H St. Andrew's, DC        4-13      -9   -14          n/a  
   504 A Springbrook            10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.51
   512 A Wootton                 7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Wootton                 9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.54
   425 H Northwest              13- 6       7     2    ++     4.88
   504 A Springbrook            10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.51
   322 H Damascus               11-14      -3    -5    +      2.11
   420 A Quince Orchard          8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   512 A Wootton                 7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.74 Local Power Rank...........    82
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.28 Local SOS Rank.............    78
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    86
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   105
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7


  
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