Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials                                             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2566681    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Mt. Sinai              NY C  Sec 11  (12- 6, 86.1)     9-16   
 323 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.7)     9- 6   
 328 H Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.0)    18-16   
 404 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.7)    13- 8   
 406 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 3, 97.1)     9-18   
 410 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 82.0)    13-11   
 412 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 74.1)    13-10   
 420 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.7)    16- 5   
 424 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 89.3)    13-18   
 426 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 84.7)     4-17   
 428 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 81.0)    16-14   
 502 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 61.0)    17- 8   
 504 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 72.2)    18-10   
 508 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.6)     9-24   
 510 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 63.8)    16- 6   
 512 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 94.0)     7-17   
 516 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 73.6)    21-10   
 520 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.6)     8-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Mt. Sinai               9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.31
   323 H Bayport-Blue Point      9- 6       3     5    -     -2.67
   328 H Westhampton Beach      18-16       2     4    -     -2.42
   404 H Connetquot             13- 8       5     7    -     -2.65
   406 H Bay Shore               9-18      -9   -14           1.00
   410 A Deer Park              13-11       2    -1    +      3.56
   412 A Patchogue-Medford      13-10       3     6    -     -3.42
   420 H Walt Whitman, NY       16- 5      11     6    +      3.28
   424 H North Babylon          13-18      -5    -6           1.88
   426 A Smithtown West          4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.83
   428 H Longwood               16-14       2     1           0.65
   502 A Brentwood, NY          17- 8       9    19          -1.00
   504 A Half Hollow Hills      18-10       8     8          -0.32
   508 A Sachem East             9-24     -15    -9          -0.89
   510 H Copiague               16- 6      10    18           0.00
   512 H East Islip              7-17     -10   -11           0.00
   516 A Bellport               21-10      11     6    +      3.15
   520 A Sachem East             8-20     -12    -9          -0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Smithtown West          4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.83
   321 H Mt. Sinai               9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.31
   323 H Bayport-Blue Point      9- 6       3     5    -     -2.67
   328 H Westhampton Beach      18-16       2     4    -     -2.42
   404 H Connetquot             13- 8       5     7    -     -2.65
   412 A Patchogue-Medford      13-10       3     6    -     -3.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Deer Park              13-11       2    -1    +      3.56
   420 H Walt Whitman, NY       16- 5      11     6    +      3.28
   516 A Bellport               21-10      11     6    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.43 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.08 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/