Region = VA NW AAA              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Jackie Hartley        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3419266    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 7- 5, 85.7)    11- 8  o
 316 H Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      ( 3- 7, 80.7)    12- 5   
 321 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (16- 5, 95.5)     4-15   
 324 H St. Catherine's School VA LIS        (12- 5, 93.7)    12-14   
 328 A Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 8, 71.8)    14- 2   
 411 H Collegiate School      VA LIS        (18- 4, 97.3)     7-17   
 413 A Trinity Episcopal      VA LIS        (14- 6, 84.8)    13- 1   
 419 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 7- 5, 85.7)    11-10   
 421 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 4- 4, 84.3)    10- 7   
 425 A Collegiate School      VA LIS        (18- 4, 97.3)     7-16   
 427 H Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 8, 71.8)    15- 5   
 504 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS        (12- 5, 93.7)     8-17   
 511 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      ( 3- 7, 80.7)    11- 9  o
 518 H Patrick Henry, VA      VA NW AAA     ( 7- 3, 83.2)    10- 5   
 519 H Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 8, 71.8)   
 525 A Osbourn Park           VA NW AAA     (11- 7, 80.2)    12- 7   
 526 H Forest Park            VA NW AAA     (11- 4, 80.9)    10- 3   
 530 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 4- 4, 84.3)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Rockbridge County      11- 8  o    3     4          -1.52
   316 H Western Albemarle      12- 5       7     9    -     -2.58
   321 A St. Anne's-Belfield     4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.36
   324 H St. Catherine's School 12-14      -2    -3           1.42
   328 A Monticello             14- 2      12    16           0.00
   411 H Collegiate School       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.95
   413 A Trinity Episcopal      13- 1      12     3    +++    6.87
   419 A Rockbridge County      11-10       1     2          -1.15
   421 H Charlottesville        10- 7       3     5    -     -2.91
   425 A Collegiate School       7-16      -9    -9           0.42
   427 H Monticello             15- 5      10    18           0.00
   504 A St. Catherine's School  8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.21
   511 A Western Albemarle      11- 9  o    2     7    --    -5.21
   518 H Patrick Henry, VA      10- 5       5     7    -     -2.02
   525 A Osbourn Park           12- 7       5     7    -     -2.68
   526 H Forest Park            10- 3       7     9    -     -2.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Western Albemarle      11- 9  o    2     7    --    -5.21
   316 H Western Albemarle      12- 5       7     9    -     -2.58
   321 A St. Anne's-Belfield     4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.36
   411 H Collegiate School       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.95
   421 H Charlottesville        10- 7       3     5    -     -2.91
   504 A St. Catherine's School  8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.21
   518 H Patrick Henry, VA      10- 5       5     7    -     -2.02
   525 A Osbourn Park           12- 7       5     7    -     -2.68
   526 H Forest Park            10- 3       7     9    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Trinity Episcopal      13- 1      12     3    +++    6.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.07 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.58 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/