Region = VA Natl                
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Robin Steinberg       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3666840    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A South Lakes            VA Lbrty      ( 1-11, 71.6)    12- 4   
 316 H West Potomac           VA Pat        ( 2- 8, 80.1)   
 328 H West Potomac           VA Pat        ( 2- 8, 80.1)    13- 9   
 331 A Chantilly              VA Cncrd      ( 8- 4, 93.6)     4-14   
 404 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA Cncrd      ( 1- 6, 80.7)   
 408 A Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA Cncrd      ( 1- 6, 80.7)   
 412 H Mt. Vernon             VA Natl       ( 7- 4, 87.6)    15- 9   
 415 A Thomas Alva Edison     VA Natl       ( 1- 6, 78.9)     6- 4   
 418 A Bishop O'Connell       DC WCAC       ( 4-10, 80.0)     7-12   
 419 H Falls Church           VA Natl       ( 0- 5, 73.4)   
 426 H Langley                VA Lbrty      ( 9- 6, 89.4)     7-11   
 427 A T.C. Williams          VA Pat        ( 3-12, 78.8)     5- 4   
 429 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA Indep      ( 0- 8, 69.8)   
 502 A George Mason           VA Cncrd      ( 5- 7, 78.0)    14- 4   
 505 H Washington-Lee         VA Natl       ( 2- 7, 76.1)   
 519 H West Springfield, VA   VA Pat        (10- 5, 92.2)    11-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A South Lakes            12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   328 H West Potomac           13- 9       4     7    -     -3.02
   331 A Chantilly               4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.01
   412 H Mt. Vernon             15- 9       6     0    +++    6.42
   415 A Thomas Alva Edison      6- 4       2     6    --    -4.66
   418 A Bishop O'Connell        7-12      -5     5          n/a  
   426 H Langley                 7-11      -4    -2          -1.72
   427 A T.C. Williams           5- 4       1     6    --    -5.84
   502 A George Mason           14- 4      10     7    +      2.38
   519 H West Springfield, VA   11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Bishop O'Connell        7-12      -5     5    ---        
   415 A Thomas Alva Edison      6- 4       2     6    --    -4.66
   427 A T.C. Williams           5- 4       1     6    --    -5.84
   314 A South Lakes            12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   328 H West Potomac           13- 9       4     7    -     -3.02
   331 A Chantilly               4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Mt. Vernon             15- 9       6     0    +++    6.42
   519 H West Springfield, VA   11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.04
   502 A George Mason           14- 4      10     7    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.38 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.59 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/