Saugerties                    2 - 5


 
                                     Region = NY B  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Sawyers              Coach  =   H. Semelmacher        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   92.4689636    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   ( 3- 3, 97.6)     4- 6   
 409 A Holy Names Academy     NY B  Sec 2   ( 3-10, 65.3)     6- 9   
 411 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-11, 85.6)    15- 4   
 413 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 5, 86.4)     6- 2   
 418 A James I. O'Neill       NY C  Sec 9   (16- 4, 99.9)     6-10   
 427 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 3, 89.0)  5
 429 A Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 3, 88.7)  6
 430 A Tappan Zee             NY B  Sec 1   (17- 4, 90.4)   
 502 A Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (16- 3, 99.7)     4-13   
 504 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 2- 8, 84.3)  9
 509 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 5, 86.4)  7
 511 H James I. O'Neill       NY C  Sec 9   (16- 4, 99.9)     2-12   
 513 A Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 3, 89.0)  5
 518 H Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 3, 88.7)  6
 521 A Berkshire Country Day  MA Indep      ( 1- 2, 63.9)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Pine Bush               4- 6      -2    -7    ++     5.28
   409 A Holy Names Academy      6- 9      -3    23          n/a  
   411 H Newburgh Free Academy  15- 4      11     4    ++     5.24
   413 H Valley Central          6- 2       4     3           0.07
   418 A James I. O'Neill        6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   502 A Kingston                4-13      -9   -10           1.00
   511 H James I. O'Neill        2-12     -10    -9          -0.43


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Holy Names Academy      6- 9      -3    23    ---        


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A James I. O'Neill        6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   407 H Pine Bush               4- 6      -2    -7    ++     5.28
   411 H Newburgh Free Academy  15- 4      11     4    ++     5.24




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.72 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.64 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7


  
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