Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows                                        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.1752014    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (10- 8, 79.3)    10-13   
 404 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 83.8)     6- 3   
 406 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.4)     7-15   
 409 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 84.7)     4- 6   
 412 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.5)     8- 7   
 414 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)     7- 9   
 418 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 75.8)     8- 7   
 420 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     4-20   
 422 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 85.4)     3- 7   
 426 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 82.9)     8- 9   
 428 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 60.6)    15- 1   
 504 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 95.9)     1-19   
 506 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 67.0)    13- 4   
 510 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 74.4)    11- 6   
 512 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 68.1)    17- 5   
 514 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 82.9)     8- 5   
 516 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 95.9)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Comsewogue             10-13      -3     0    -     -3.60
   404 H Smithtown               6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.12
   406 A Ward Melville           7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   409 H West Islip              4- 6      -2    -3           2.00
   412 A West Babylon            8- 7       1    -2    +      3.60
   414 H East Islip              7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.63
   418 A Sachem North            8- 7       1     4    -     -3.07
   420 A Bay Shore               4-20     -16   -20           0.00
   422 H Commack                 3- 7      -4    -4           0.74
   426 A Lindenhurst             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.05
   428 H Brentwood, NY          15- 1      14    20           0.00
   504 A Northport               1-19     -18   -15           0.00
   506 H Patchogue-Medford      13- 4       9    13          -1.00
   510 H Bellport               11- 6       5     6          -1.26
   512 A William Floyd          17- 5      12    11           0.00
   514 H Lindenhurst             8- 5       3    -2    ++     5.21
   516 A Northport               8-16      -8   -15    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Comsewogue             10-13      -3     0    -     -3.60
   418 A Sachem North            8- 7       1     4    -     -3.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Smithtown               6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.12
   414 H East Islip              7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.63
   514 H Lindenhurst             8- 5       3    -2    ++     5.21
   406 A Ward Melville           7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   412 A West Babylon            8- 7       1    -2    +      3.60
   426 A Lindenhurst             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.05
   516 A Northport               8-16      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.28 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.09 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/