Region = MD IAAM A1             
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   John Hughes           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4450226    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Archbishop Spalding    MD IAAM A2    ( 6-11, 87.2)    10- 5   
 317 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC ISL A      (23- 1, 99.9)     5- 6   
 318 A Seton Keough           MD IAAM A1    ( 6- 9, 91.7)    12-10 2o
 321 A Bel Air                MD 3A         ( 3- 7, 75.4)    14- 2   
 405 A Bryn Mawr              MD IAAM A1    (10- 7, 93.7)     7- 4   
 407 A Maryvale Prep          MD IAAM A1    ( 6-10, 89.4)     8-11   
 411 A Garrison Forest        MD IAAM A2    ( 1-12, 79.1)    16- 7   
 412 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD IAAM A1    (11- 5, 95.9)    11-12  o
 414 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD IAAM A1    (15- 2, 99.8)     5-14   
 418 A Fallston               MD 3A         ( 3- 8, 70.6)    17- 8   
 419 H Severn School          MD IAAM A1    (13- 4, 97.1)     6- 7   
 421 H Mt. de Sales Academy   MD IAAM A1    ( 5- 9, 89.5)     9-10 2o
 426 A Roland Park CS         MD IAAM A1    ( 4-11, 89.9)     8- 9   
 428 N Inst. of Notre Dame    MD IAAM B     (11- 5, 85.3)    15- 3   
 503 H Friends School         MD IAAM A2    (10- 7, 91.5)    14- 9   
 503 A St. Mary's, MD         MD IAAM A1    (17- 5, 99.8)     6-16   
 506 H Roland Park CS         MD IAAM A1    ( 4-11, 89.9)     8- 7   
 510 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD IAAM A1    (11- 5, 95.9)    12-11 3o
 512 A Severn School          MD IAAM A1    (13- 4, 97.1)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Archbishop Spalding    10- 5       5     6          -1.51
   317 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  5- 6      -1    -7          n/a  
   318 A Seton Keough           12-10 2o    2     0           1.49
   321 A Bel Air                14- 2      12    16          n/a  
   405 A Bryn Mawr               7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.46
   407 A Maryvale Prep           8-11      -3     2    --    -5.82
   411 A Garrison Forest        16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   412 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    11-12  o   -1    -2           1.23
   414 A St. Paul's SG, MD       5-14      -9    -7          -1.50
   418 A Fallston               17- 8       9    21          n/a  
   419 H Severn School           6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.41
   421 H Mt. de Sales Academy    9-10 2o   -1     4    --    -5.17
   426 A Roland Park CS          8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.32
   428 N Inst. of Notre Dame    15- 3      12     7    +      2.37
   503 H Friends School         14- 9       5     2    +      2.83
   503 A St. Mary's, MD          6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.43
   506 H Roland Park CS          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.78
   510 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    12-11 3o    1    -3    ++     4.69
   512 A Severn School           8-10      -2    -4    +      2.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Maryvale Prep           8-11      -3     2    --    -5.82
   421 H Mt. de Sales Academy    9-10 2o   -1     4    --    -5.17
   426 A Roland Park CS          8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.32
   503 A St. Mary's, MD          6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.43
   506 H Roland Park CS          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  5- 6      -1    -7    +++        
   405 A Bryn Mawr               7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.46
   510 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    12-11 3o    1    -3    ++     4.69
   419 H Severn School           6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.41
   428 N Inst. of Notre Dame    15- 3      12     7    +      2.37
   503 H Friends School         14- 9       5     2    +      2.83
   512 A Severn School           8-10      -2    -4    +      2.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.98 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.00 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/