Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Mary Flavin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8638306    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     3-12   
 401 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)   
 419 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 4, 97.0)     7-13   
 421 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 9, 93.9)     6-10   
 423 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 8, 90.4)     1-13   
 427 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 89.2)     7-11   
 429 A Hamburg                NY A  Sec 6   (13- 2, 99.3)     4-11   
 501 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     8-10   
 503 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)     7- 6   
 505 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 4, 97.0)  7
 507 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 9, 93.9)     6-10   
 511 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 8, 90.4)    11- 8   
 513 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 89.2)    10- 7   
 517 H Hamburg                NY A  Sec 6   (13- 2, 99.3)    10-12   
 518 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)     7- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Orchard Park            3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   419 A Lancaster               7-13      -6    -9    +      3.73
   421 H Clarence                6-10      -4    -4           0.32
   423 A Frontier                1-13     -12    -3    ---   -6.85
   427 H Niagara-Wheatfield      7-11      -4     0    --    -4.42
   429 A Hamburg                 4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   501 A Orchard Park            8-10      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   503 A West Seneca West        7- 6       1     3    -     -2.76
   507 A Clarence                6-10      -4    -6    +      2.70
   511 H Frontier               11- 8       3     0    +      3.78
   513 A Niagara-Wheatfield     10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.96
   517 H Hamburg                10-12      -2    -9    +++    7.72
   518 H West Seneca West        7- 5       2     6    --    -4.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Frontier                1-13     -12    -3    ---   -6.85
   427 H Niagara-Wheatfield      7-11      -4     0    --    -4.42
   518 H West Seneca West        7- 5       2     6    --    -4.14
   503 A West Seneca West        7- 6       1     3    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Orchard Park            8-10      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   517 H Hamburg                10-12      -2    -9    +++    7.72
   513 A Niagara-Wheatfield     10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.96
   419 A Lancaster               7-13      -6    -9    +      3.73
   429 A Hamburg                 4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   507 A Clarence                6-10      -4    -6    +      2.70
   511 H Frontier               11- 8       3     0    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.43 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.06 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/