Western Albermarle            1 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Martha Hogan          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   95.1445465    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Gaithersburg           MD 4A         ( 1- 9, 54.2)   
 327 H Springside School      PA IAC        (15- 6, 92.8)     8-12   
 330 N Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     5- 9   
 414 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS        (11- 5, 93.7)     8-15   
 416 A Collegiate School      VA LIS        (13- 4, 95.9)     6-11   
 417 A Fauquier               VA NW AA      (10- 5, 89.9)    12- 4   
 423 A Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 81.7)   
 427 H Albermarle             VA NW AAA     ( 7- 8, 85.9)   
 430 H Liberty-Beal, VA       VA NW AA      ( 4- 5, 82.5)   
 504 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (19- 0, 99.9)     3-10   
 507 H Collegiate School      VA LIS        (13- 4, 95.9)     6-11   
 514 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     5- 6   
 518 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 8, 89.1)     8- 9   
 527 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     7-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Springside School       8-12      -4    -5          n/a  
   330 N Charlottesville         5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.24
   414 A St. Catherine's School  8-15      -7    -8          n/a  
   416 A Collegiate School       6-11      -5   -11          n/a  
   417 A Fauquier               12- 4       8    -5    +++   13.14
   504 H St. Anne's-Belfield     3-10      -7   -12          n/a  
   507 H Collegiate School       6-11      -5    -8          n/a  
   514 A Charlottesville         5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.54
   518 A Rockbridge County       8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.39
   527 A Charlottesville         7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.54


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Fauquier               12- 4       8    -5    +++   13.14
   514 A Charlottesville         5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.54
   527 A Charlottesville         7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.54
   330 N Charlottesville         5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.24
   416 A Collegiate School       6-11      -5   -11    ++         
   504 H St. Anne's-Belfield     3-10      -7   -12    +          
   507 H Collegiate School       6-11      -5    -8    +          
   518 A Rockbridge County       8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.39




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.01 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.83 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7


  
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