Region = VA Lbrty               
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Robin Steinberg       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8197784    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 H West Potomac           VA Pat        ( 4- 7, 80.9)     8- 4   
 312 H Falls Church           VA Natl       ( 0-11, 70.4)    10- 2   
 319 A T.C. Williams          VA Pat        ( 3- 8, 77.9)     8- 4   
 326 A Washington-Lee         VA Natl       ( 4-10, 75.1)    12- 2   
 331 H South Lakes            VA Lbrty      ( 2- 9, 72.9)    12- 4   
 414 H Yorktown, VA           VA Natl       ( 2- 9, 76.3)     8- 5   
 415 A George C. Marshall     VA Lbrty      ( 4- 7, 79.4)    10- 4   
 419 H W.T. Woodson           VA Lbrty      (16- 3, 99.9)    15- 5   
 423 A Langley                VA Lbrty      ( 8- 6, 89.7)     7- 8   
 427 H James Madison          VA Lbrty      ( 4- 8, 80.2)     8- 9   
 428 H George Mason           VA Cncrd      ( 5- 8, 78.2)    12- 4   
 429 A McLean, VA             VA Lbrty      ( 4- 6, 84.5)     7- 8   
 510 H Fairfax                VA Lbrty      (12- 4, 92.1)     9-10   
 512 A McLean, VA             VA Lbrty      ( 4- 6, 84.5)    10- 6   
 514 N Fairfax                VA Lbrty      (12- 4, 92.1)     5- 9   
 520 A Thomas Alva Edison     VA Natl       ( 9- 5, 88.2)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H West Potomac            8- 4       4     8    --    -4.50
   312 H Falls Church           10- 2       8    18    -     -2.00
   319 A T.C. Williams           8- 4       4     8    --    -4.89
   326 A Washington-Lee         12- 2      10    11           0.00
   331 H South Lakes            12- 4       8    16    -     -2.00
   414 H Yorktown, VA            8- 5       3    13    ---   -7.00
   415 A George C. Marshall     10- 4       6     7          -1.46
   419 H W.T. Woodson           15- 5      10   -10    +++   20.00
   423 A Langley                 7- 8      -1    -2           1.89
   427 H James Madison           8- 9      -1     9    ---  -10.23
   428 H George Mason           12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   429 A McLean, VA              7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.34
   510 H Fairfax                 9-10      -1    -2           1.63
   512 A McLean, VA             10- 6       4     2           1.66
   514 N Fairfax                 5- 9      -4    -3          -0.06
   520 A Thomas Alva Edison      8-11      -3    -1          -1.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Yorktown, VA            8- 5       3    13    ---   -7.00
   427 H James Madison           8- 9      -1     9    ---  -10.23
   310 H West Potomac            8- 4       4     8    --    -4.50
   319 A T.C. Williams           8- 4       4     8    --    -4.89
   312 H Falls Church           10- 2       8    18    -     -2.00
   331 H South Lakes            12- 4       8    16    -     -2.00
   428 H George Mason           12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   429 A McLean, VA              7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H W.T. Woodson           15- 5      10   -10    +++   20.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.13 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.13 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/