Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5308685    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 8, 90.4)    13-14   
 401 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 89.2)    11- 5   
 419 A Hamburg                NY A  Sec 6   (13- 2, 99.3)     5- 6   
 421 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 88.4)    10- 6   
 423 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     2- 9   
 424 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     5-14   
 427 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)    10- 5   
 429 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 4, 97.0)    10- 8   
 501 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 8, 90.4)    13- 7   
 503 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 89.2)     8- 4   
 505 H Hamburg                NY A  Sec 6   (13- 2, 99.3)     6- 8   
 507 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 88.4)    10- 6   
 508 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.2)     4- 9   
 510 H Nichols School         NY Martin     ( 8- 4, 99.1)     4-12   
 511 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     5- 7   
 513 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)    12- 2   
 517 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 4, 97.0)    11- 7   
 523 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     7- 6   
 525 N Hamburg                NY A  Sec 6   (13- 2, 99.3)     4- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Frontier               13-14      -1     4    --    -5.74
   401 H Niagara-Wheatfield     11- 5       6     5           0.07
   419 A Hamburg                 5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.59
   421 A Williamsville North    10- 6       4     4          -0.32
   423 H Orchard Park            2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.23
   424 A Fairport                5-14      -9     9          n/a  
   427 A West Seneca West       10- 5       5     9    --    -4.27
   429 H Lancaster              10- 8       2    -1    +      3.84
   501 A Frontier               13- 7       6     2    +      3.64
   503 A Niagara-Wheatfield      8- 4       4     3           0.45
   505 H Hamburg                 6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.21
   507 H Williamsville North    10- 6       4     6    -     -2.70
   508 A Webster Thomas          4- 9      -5     6          n/a  
   510 H Nichols School          4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.03
   511 A Orchard Park            5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   513 H West Seneca West       12- 2      10    11           0.00
   517 A Lancaster              11- 7       4    -4    +++    8.22
   523 A Orchard Park            7- 6       1    -7    +++    8.15
   525 N Hamburg                 4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Fairport                5-14      -9     9    ---        
   508 A Webster Thomas          4- 9      -5     6    ---        
   330 H Frontier               13-14      -1     4    --    -5.74
   427 A West Seneca West       10- 5       5     9    --    -4.27
   510 H Nichols School          4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.03
   423 H Orchard Park            2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.23
   507 H Williamsville North    10- 6       4     6    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Lancaster              11- 7       4    -4    +++    8.22
   523 A Orchard Park            7- 6       1    -7    +++    8.15
   419 A Hamburg                 5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.59
   511 A Orchard Park            5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.15
   429 H Lancaster              10- 8       2    -1    +      3.84
   501 A Frontier               13- 7       6     2    +      3.64
   505 H Hamburg                 6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.21
   525 N Hamburg                 4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.94 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.64 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/