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Region = VA NW AA Nickname = A Black Knights Coach = Rebecca TweelGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6297226 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Liberty-Beal, VA VA NW AA ( 4- 5, 82.5) 12- 1 322 A Fauquier VA NW AA (10- 5, 89.9) 14- 4 330 N Western Albermarle VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 86.0) 9- 5 331 H Albermarle VA NW AAA ( 7- 8, 85.9) 11- 8 401 A St. Anne's-Belfield VA LIS (19- 0, 99.9) 1- 9 416 A Monticello VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 81.7) 5- 2 420 A Albermarle VA NW AAA ( 7- 8, 85.9) 8- 9 2o 421 H Covenant School VA Indep ( 2- 4, 81.6) 11- 4 427 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 9- 8, 89.1) 9-10 430 H Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 9- 8, 89.1) 7- 8 514 H Western Albermarle VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 86.0) 6- 5 521 H Monticello VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 81.7) 13- 4 527 H Western Albermarle VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 86.0) 10- 7 528 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 9- 8, 89.1) 7- 8 o 601 A Stone Bridge VA Dulles (15- 2, 93.9) 8- 5 605 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 9- 8, 89.1) 9- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Liberty-Beal, VA 12- 1 11 13 0.00 322 A Fauquier 14- 4 10 3 +++ 6.90 330 N Western Albermarle 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.24 331 H Albermarle 11- 8 3 9 --- -6.67 401 A St. Anne's-Belfield 1- 9 -8 -6 n/a 416 A Monticello 5- 2 3 11 --- -7.00 420 A Albermarle 8- 9 2o -1 7 --- -8.06 421 H Covenant School 11- 4 7 13 n/a 427 A Rockbridge County 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.85 430 H Rockbridge County 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.45 514 H Western Albermarle 6- 5 1 9 --- -8.54 521 H Monticello 13- 4 9 13 -1.00 527 H Western Albermarle 10- 7 3 9 --- -6.54 528 A Rockbridge County 7- 8 o -1 3 -- -4.85 601 A Stone Bridge 8- 5 3 0 + 3.95 605 A Rockbridge County 9- 7 2 3 -1.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Albermarle 11- 8 3 9 --- -6.67 416 A Monticello 5- 2 3 11 --- -7.00 420 A Albermarle 8- 9 2o -1 7 --- -8.06 430 H Rockbridge County 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.45 514 H Western Albermarle 6- 5 1 9 --- -8.54 527 H Western Albermarle 10- 7 3 9 --- -6.54 330 N Western Albermarle 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.24 427 A Rockbridge County 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.85 528 A Rockbridge County 7- 8 o -1 3 -- -4.85 421 H Covenant School 11- 4 7 13 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Fauquier 14- 4 10 3 +++ 6.90 601 A Stone Bridge 8- 5 3 0 + 3.95/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.25 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 71.67 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3