Armstrong                     7 - 2


 
                                     Region = MN NSLA-W              
   Nickname = N Falcons              Coach  =   Bill Moir             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.8801651    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Maple Grove            MN NSLA-N     ( 3- 8, 72.0)    15- 0   
 408 H Stillwater             MN NSLA-E     ( 9- 4, 84.6)    13- 2   
 412 H Cooper                 MN NSLA-W     (12- 2, 96.2)     2- 9   
 419 H Orono                  MN NSLA-W     ( 5- 5, 83.8)     5- 5   
 426 A Chaska                 MN NSLA-W     ( 9- 5, 84.0)     4- 4   
 428 A Centennial, MN         MN NSLA-E     ( 5- 6, 78.5)     8- 3   
 429 A Minnetonka             MN NSLA-W     (13- 3, 89.6)     5- 8   
 505 A Anoka                  MN NSLA-N     ( 3- 9, 74.2)    12- 7   
 510 H Mayhem-Visitation      MN NSLA-S     (11- 3, 84.1)    12- 0   
 510 A Mound-West Tonka       MN NSLA-W     ( 2- 8, 69.6)    15- 2   
 514 A Osseo                  MN NSLA-N     ( 3- 8, 75.0)    15- 4   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Maple Grove            15- 0      15    17           0.00
   408 H Stillwater             13- 2      11     4    ++     5.16
   412 H Cooper                  2- 9      -7    -6          -0.23
   419 H Orono                   5- 5       0     5    --    -5.63
   426 A Chaska                  4- 4       0     4    --    -4.27
   428 A Centennial, MN          8- 3       5     9    --    -4.83
   429 A Minnetonka              5- 8      -3    -1          -1.69
   505 A Anoka                  12- 7       5    14    --    -5.00
   510 H Mayhem-Visitation      12- 0      12     5    ++     4.72
   510 A Mound-West Tonka       15- 2      13    18           0.00
   514 A Osseo                  15- 4      11    13           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Orono                   5- 5       0     5    --    -5.63
   426 A Chaska                  4- 4       0     4    --    -4.27
   428 A Centennial, MN          8- 3       5     9    --    -4.83
   505 A Anoka                  12- 7       5    14    --    -5.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Stillwater             13- 2      11     4    ++     5.16
   510 H Mayhem-Visitation      12- 0      12     5    ++     4.72




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.85 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.14 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   12.0


  
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