Region = VA 6A Liberty          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2469177    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Chantilly              VA 6A Concord ( 7-11, 86.6)    10- 9   
 317 H Langley                VA 6A Liberty ( 8-10, 85.6)     9- 8 2o
 319 A Robinson               VA 6A Concord (20- 2, 97.0)     3- 7   
 405 A South Lakes            VA 6A Liberty (16- 3, 92.6)     4- 9   
 407 H Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 3- 9, 76.7)    12- 1   
 409 N Dominion               VA 4A Dulles  (21- 0, 99.9)     7-13   
 412 H Madison                VA 6A Liberty (12-10, 88.8)     5- 7   
 413 A Herndon                VA 6A Concord ( 2-10, 78.0)    10- 5   
 415 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A Liberty ( 3-12, 71.4)    15- 1   
 419 H Briar Woods            VA 5A No-Loud (13- 7, 92.1)     7- 6  o
 421 H Oakton                 VA 6A Concord ( 6- 9, 86.1)     4- 1   
 426 A McLean                 VA 6A Liberty ( 5-10, 82.3)     8- 6   
 429 H Fairfax                VA 6A Liberty ( 3-10, 77.9)    10- 6   
 503 A South County           VA 6A Patriot (13- 5, 91.4)     7- 8   
 505 H Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 3- 9, 76.7)    14- 3   
 511 N Madison                VA 6A Liberty (12-10, 88.8)     8- 3   
 513 N South Lakes            VA 6A Liberty (16- 3, 92.6)     5- 8   
 517 H Osbourn Park           VA 6A Cedar   ( 8- 7, 81.5)    14- 3   
 519 A Robinson               VA 6A Concord (20- 2, 97.0)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Chantilly              10- 9       1     1          -0.78
   317 H Langley                 9- 8 2o    1     5    --    -4.07
   319 A Robinson                3- 7      -4    -8    ++     4.62
   405 A South Lakes             4- 9      -5    -4          -0.81
   407 H Hayfield               12- 1      11    13           0.00
   409 N Dominion                7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   412 H Madison                 5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.85
   413 A Herndon                10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   415 A Washington-Lee         15- 1      14    17           0.00
   419 H Briar Woods             7- 6  o    1    -1    +      2.42
   421 H Oakton                  4- 1       3     4          -1.62
   426 A McLean                  8- 6       2     6    --    -4.11
   429 H Fairfax                10- 6       4    12    ---   -6.00
   503 A South County            7- 8      -1    -2           1.98
   505 H Hayfield               14- 3      11    13           0.00
   511 N Madison                 8- 3       5     0    ++     4.30
   513 N South Lakes             5- 8      -3    -3           0.04
   517 H Osbourn Park           14- 3      11     9           0.84
   519 A Robinson                5-12      -7    -8           1.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Fairfax                10- 6       4    12    ---   -6.00
   317 H Langley                 9- 8 2o    1     5    --    -4.07
   413 A Herndon                10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   426 A McLean                  8- 6       2     6    --    -4.11
   412 H Madison                 5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Robinson                3- 7      -4    -8    ++     4.62
   409 N Dominion                7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   511 N Madison                 8- 3       5     0    ++     4.30
   419 H Briar Woods             7- 6  o    1    -1    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.52 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.56 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   104
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/