Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Ed Moy                

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0106430    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Waltham                MA 1          ( 5-12, 78.8)    16- 3   
 405 A Weymouth               MA 1          ( 6-12, 80.2)    16- 5   
 409 H Natick                 MA 1          ( 6-12, 78.8)    12- 0   
 411 A Needham                MA 1          (17- 3, 97.3)     5-11   
 413 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (18- 5, 95.7)     6-14   
 416 H Dover                  NH 2          ( 7-10, 81.6)    14- 3   
 418 A Newton South           MA 1          ( 7- 9, 82.2)    10- 6   
 423 H Dedham                 MA 3          ( 2-16, 68.4)    13- 1   
 426 H Newton North           MA 1          (14- 6, 90.4)     7-12   
 430 H Milton                 MA 2          ( 4-14, 73.3)    14- 2   
 502 H Braintree              MA 1          (13- 6, 88.6)     8- 9  o
 507 A Norwood                MA 2          ( 3-15, 77.5)    10- 9   
 509 A Walpole                MA 2          (11- 8, 86.8)     9- 6   
 514 A Brookline              MA 1          ( 8-10, 81.8)    12- 2   
 516 H Wellesley              MA 2          (16- 5, 92.8)     6- 8   
 517 A Shrewsbury             MA 2  MidWacA (17- 6, 96.2)     7- 5   
 521 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (11-10, 91.2)     1- 1   
 523 H Foxborough             MA 2          (13- 8, 87.2)    12- 6   
 529 H Franklin               MA 1          (13- 7, 89.1)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Waltham                16- 3      13    12           0.00
   405 A Weymouth               16- 5      11     9           0.42
   409 H Natick                 12- 0      12    12           0.00
   411 A Needham                 5-11      -6    -7           1.53
   413 H Acton Boxborough        6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.43
   416 H Dover                  14- 3      11     9          n/a  
   418 A Newton South           10- 6       4     7    -     -3.61
   423 H Dedham                 13- 1      12    22           0.00
   426 H Newton North            7-12      -5     0    --    -5.77
   430 H Milton                 14- 2      12    17           0.00
   502 H Braintree               8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.53
   507 A Norwood                10- 9       1    12    ---   -9.00
   509 A Walpole                 9- 6       3     2           0.02
   514 A Brookline              12- 2      10     7    +      2.00
   516 H Wellesley               6- 8      -2    -1          -0.34
   517 A Shrewsbury              7- 5       2    -6          n/a  
   521 A Catholic Memorial       1- 1       0    -1           1.42
   523 H Foxborough             12- 6       6     3    +      2.05
   529 H Franklin                6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Norwood                10- 9       1    12    ---   -9.00
   426 H Newton North            7-12      -5     0    --    -5.77
   413 H Acton Boxborough        6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.43
   418 A Newton South           10- 6       4     7    -     -3.61
   502 H Braintree               8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.53
   529 H Franklin                6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Shrewsbury              7- 5       2    -6    +++        
   514 A Brookline              12- 2      10     7    +      2.00
   523 H Foxborough             12- 6       6     3    +      2.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.50 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.99 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    56
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/