Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lions                Coach  =   Tom Gallagher         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1588440    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (11-10, 91.2)     8-20   
 402 A Haverhill              MA 1          ( 5-11, 75.0)    14- 6   
 405 A Billerica              MA 1          (16- 7, 90.8)     4-13   
 409 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 4-14, 72.4)    13- 2   
 416 A Malden Catholic        MA 1          ( 6-12, 80.8)    15-11   
 418 A Woburn                 MA 1          (10- 9, 84.5)     3- 6   
 420 H Salem                  MA 1          (11-10, 79.3)    16-12   
 422 H Andover HS             MA 1          (14- 6, 90.8)     3- 8   
 423 A Central Catholic       MA 1          ( 9- 9, 81.4)    12- 9   
 426 H North Andover          MA 2          (15- 7, 89.0)    10-13   
 427 A South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (16- 6, 91.1)    10-12   
 430 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (18- 5, 95.7)     6-14   
 501 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          (16- 5, 88.2)    11-12   
 503 H Billerica              MA 1          (16- 7, 90.8)    10-11   
 506 A Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (13- 8, 84.7)     7-11   
 508 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 5-15, 72.2)    16- 7   
 510 A Andover HS             MA 1          (14- 6, 90.8)     8- 9 2o
 513 H Medford                MA 1          ( 9-12, 75.3)    15- 5   
 515 H Peabody                MA 1          (11-10, 82.5)    17- 7   
 517 A North Andover          MA 2          (15- 7, 89.0)    10-12   
 520 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (16- 6, 96.0)     5-17   
 523 H Waltham                MA 1          ( 5-12, 78.8)    14- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Catholic Memorial       8-20     -12    -8          -1.71
   402 A Haverhill              14- 6       8     7           0.02
   405 A Billerica               4-13      -9    -7          -1.11
   409 H Dracut                 13- 2      11    11           0.00
   416 A Malden Catholic        15-11       4     2           1.90
   418 A Woburn                  3- 6      -3    -1          -1.48
   420 H Salem                  16-12       4     4          -0.98
   422 H Andover HS              3- 8      -5    -6           1.48
   423 A Central Catholic       12- 9       3     1           1.44
   426 H North Andover          10-13      -3    -4           1.70
   427 A South Hadley           10-12      -2    -8          n/a  
   430 A Acton Boxborough        6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   501 H Tewksbury Memorial     11-12      -1    -3    +      2.89
   503 H Billerica              10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.52
   506 A Hamilton-Wenham         7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.27
   508 A Lowell                 16- 7       9    10          -1.00
   510 A Andover HS              8- 9 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.84
   513 H Medford                15- 5      10     9           0.96
   515 H Peabody                17- 7      10     1    +++    8.20
   517 A North Andover          10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.06
   520 A Xaverian Bros           5-17     -12   -13           0.00
   523 H Waltham                14- 8       6     5           0.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Hamilton-Wenham         7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A South Hadley           10-12      -2    -8    +++        
   510 A Andover HS              8- 9 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.84
   515 H Peabody                17- 7      10     1    +++    8.20
   503 H Billerica              10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.52
   517 A North Andover          10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.06
   430 A Acton Boxborough        6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   501 H Tewksbury Memorial     11-12      -1    -3    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.62 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.51 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    65
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    97
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/