boys probababilites for 33
 
 

2012 boys Massachusetts MIAA East

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Concord Carlisle Dual County 22 0 2 9 2 2 1 2 5 7.00 2 Scituate Patriot 18 5 11 41 12 12 3 11 26 1.00 3 Catholic Memoria Catholic 19 4 6 15 5 6 13 8 27 1.00 4 Billerica Merrimack 16 6 14 10 10 8 7 13 28 1.00 5 Dover-Sherborn TriVal 19 4 12 34 11 9 14 10 33 1.00 6 Needham Bay State 16 6 8 6 6 7 18 9 34 5.00 7 Duxbury Patriot 23 2 1 1 1 1 36 1 38 40.00 8 Wellesley Bay State 20 4 4 12 4 4 37 3 44 12.00 9 Lincoln-Sudbury Dual County 16 6 10 2 3 3 39 4 46 9.00 10 Masconomet Cape Ann 17 5 13 32 14 14 15 19 48 1.00 11 Medfield TriVal 16 5 7 14 15 15 20 14 49 2.00 12 Weston Dual County 16 6 27 25 24 19 4 26 49 0.10 13 Westford Academy Dual County 15 5 5 11 13 11 28 12 51 6.00 14 Mansfield Hocomock 15 5 32 42 36 13 10 29 52 0.10 15 North Reading Cape Ann 22 2 21 98 9 23 25 6 54 0.10 16 Foxborough Hocomock 16 4 23 45 18 17 23 16 56 0.10 17 Reading Middlesex 16 6 15 35 33 24 9 33 66 0.10 18 Norwood Bay State 14 6 30 37 29 30 12 27 69 1.00 19 Winchester Middlesex 17 6 24 33 27 25 16 28 69 0.10 20 Hanover Patriot 14 6 20 46 31 26 21 25 72 0.10 21 Boston College H Catholic 13 9 17 5 25 18 22 38 78 0.10 22 Archbishop Willi Catholic 19 4 38 107 17 33 31 18 82 0.10 23 Norwell SShore 15 7 29 28 37 20 32 30 82 0.10 24 St Johns Prep Da Catholic 10 10 28 3 26 21 33 31 85 0.10 25 Xaverian Bros Catholic 10 10 26 4 34 22 24 39 85 1.00 26 Hingham Patriot 20 4 9 16 7 5 77 5 87 0.10 27 Acton Boxborough Dual County 16 4 3 13 8 10 78 7 95 12.00 28 Shawsheen Valley Commonwealth 17 3 57 127 20 28 49 22 99 0.10 29 North Andover Cape Ann 10 10 43 31 62 36 2 65 103 0.10 30 Beverly Northeast 14 5 25 54 35 27 48 35 110 0.10 31 Franklin Hocomock 16 5 22 29 28 16 79 17 112 0.10 32 Austin Prep Catholic 13 7 48 96 54 40 17 56 113 0.10 33 King Philip Hocomock 8 10 51 26 72 47 5 61 113 0.10 34 Barnstable Maritime 10 7 39 62 50 46 40 47 133 0.10 35 Cohasset SShore 7 12 44 8 74 37 29 67 133 0.10 36 Newton South Dual County 7 11 63 18 58 62 8 64 134 0.10 37 Wakefield Middlesex 13 7 35 48 49 39 45 52 136 0.10 38 Andover HS Merrimack 11 7 16 21 40 31 72 34 137 0.10 39 Tri County RVT Mayflower 17 3 92 145 21 43 73 23 139 0.10 40 Sandwich Atlantic 12 8 54 67 64 48 35 59 142 0.10 41 Chelmsford Merrimack 13 10 34 24 45 38 55 50 143 0.10 42 Hamilton-Wenham Cape Ann 11 9 45 55 76 45 26 72 143 0.10 43 Newburyport Cape Ann 15 3 33 102 19 41 85 20 146 0.10 44 Arlington Cathol Catholic 15 6 53 105 44 49 58 44 151 0.10 45 Westwood TriVal 11 9 60 58 60 64 34 53 151 0.10 46 Marblehead Northeast 15 5 31 66 32 35 84 36 155 0.10 47 Wayland Dual County 5 12 69 19 87 68 6 82 156 0.10 48 Falmouth HS Atlantic 15 6 42 88 41 51 66 41 158 0.10 49 Weymouth Bay State 6 10 78 27 70 63 30 73 166 0.10 50 Walpole Bay State 7 12 52 20 81 60 19 89 168 0.10 51 Swampscott Northeast 10 10 77 73 89 56 27 86 169 0.10 52 Marshfield Atlantic 11 9 40 60 61 55 57 63 175 0.10 53 Blackstone Valle MTLL 13 6 91 112 22 34 125 24 183 0.10 54 Newton North Bay State 14 6 19 40 23 29 134 21 184 0.10 55 Medway TriVal 15 6 37 63 38 53 97 37 187 0.10 56 Dartmouth Maritime 12 6 47 109 52 57 80 51 188 0.10 57 Woburn Middlesex 14 7 36 59 53 52 82 55 189 0.10 58 Fairhaven Maritime 17 2 56 128 16 50 129 15 194 0.10 59 Framingham Bay State 12 6 18 23 30 32 130 32 194 0.10 60 Georgetown Cape Ann 11 9 70 92 75 58 61 75 194 0.10 61 Danvers Northeast 9 10 68 64 86 69 41 85 195 0.10 62 Braintree Bay State 9 10 64 47 71 61 54 81 196 0.10 63 Whitman-Hanson Patriot 9 8 59 72 55 73 70 54 197 0.10 64 Southeastern RVT Mayflower 9 8 122 138 68 81 47 71 199 0.10 65 Waltham Dual County 2 14 93 7 103 84 11 104 199 0.10 66 Hopkinton TriVal 12 9 46 22 48 44 116 46 206 0.10 67 Silver Lake Patriot 10 9 71 75 65 74 71 62 207 0.10 68 North Shore/Esse Commonwealth 12 9 117 133 78 71 59 79 209 0.10 69 Lexington Middlesex 10 11 49 30 82 59 56 95 210 0.10 70 Old Rochester Re Maritime 12 5 84 126 42 54 118 42 214 0.10 71 Nashoba Valley T Commonwealth 14 8 96 129 56 42 117 58 217 0.10 72 Haverhill Merrimack 13 6 55 100 46 70 103 45 218 0.10 73 North Attleboro Hocomock 9 9 61 85 83 88 64 70 222 0.10 74 Canton Hocomock 7 11 76 65 107 83 46 94 223 0.10 75 Apponequet SShore 6 11 101 103 105 77 44 103 224 0.10 76 Minuteman RVT Commonwealth 16 5 102 148 39 66 119 40 225 0.10 77 Pembroke Patriot 10 11 79 80 79 89 60 77 226 0.10 78 Triton Regional Cape Ann 10 9 66 86 80 72 76 80 228 0.10 79 Melrose Middlesex 13 8 50 90 63 75 87 68 230 0.10 80 Burlington Middlesex 10 10 41 52 90 67 74 90 231 0.10 81 Bishop Stang Maritime 13 8 87 121 66 65 108 66 239 0.10 82 South Shore RVT Mayflower 12 5 105 149 43 79 120 43 242 0.10 83 Lynnfield Cape Ann 6 10 108 97 98 96 51 97 244 0.10 84 Watertown Middlesex 11 11 65 84 101 85 65 102 252 0.10 85 Bishop Feehan Catholic 12 7 67 108 51 76 133 48 257 0.10 86 Salem Northeast 9 10 86 99 96 80 88 93 261 0.10 87 Bridgewater-Rayn Maritime 7 12 90 70 106 90 67 106 263 0.10 88 Medford Greater Bosto 14 7 85 119 47 92 128 49 269 0.10 89 Matignon Middlesex 4 12 119 106 119 99 52 120 271 0.10 90 Milton Bay State 3 15 103 39 124 109 38 125 272 0.10 91 Brookline Bay State 6 12 83 43 94 86 92 100 278 0.10 92 Upper Cape Cod R Mayflower 9 10 121 137 97 100 83 96 279 0.10 93 Malden Catholic Catholic 4 14 82 17 93 87 89 108 284 0.10 94 Bishop Connolly Mayflower 8 9 118 141 84 102 101 83 286 0.10 95 NE Metro VoTech Commonwealth 8 10 127 140 99 95 94 98 287 0.10 96 Arlington Dual County 6 12 72 50 112 98 75 115 288 0.10 97 Lowell Merrimack 6 13 97 87 121 107 63 119 289 0.10 98 Bishop Fenwick Catholic 8 9 104 115 85 101 107 84 292 0.10 99 Ipswich Cape Ann 2 13 109 69 123 118 53 124 295 0.10 100 Peabody Northeast 8 10 75 78 100 82 114 99 295 0.10 101 Gr.New Bedford R MTLL 3 15 130 114 142 114 42 142 298 0.10 102 Martha's Vineyar Maritime 9 11 80 91 91 78 132 88 298 0.10 103 Plymouth North Atlantic 9 10 89 101 95 97 111 92 300 0.10 104 Hull SShore 12 7 62 123 57 106 139 57 302 0.10 105 Natick Bay State 7 9 74 51 69 91 135 76 302 0.10 106 Tewksbury Memori Merrimack 11 10 73 89 67 93 140 69 302 0.10 107 Pentucket Cape Ann 0 14 136 53 139 122 43 138 303 0.10 108 Ashland TriVal 11 9 58 76 73 94 136 74 304 0.10 109 Holliston TriVal 1 13 107 36 116 120 69 116 305 0.10 110 Whittier Vo Tech Commonwealth 10 11 132 147 104 110 91 105 306 0.10 111 Nauset Atlantic 11 10 81 110 92 105 113 91 309 0.10 112 Belmont Middlesex 1 16 94 38 143 119 50 144 313 0.10 113 Gloucester Northeast 5 12 99 71 115 103 99 114 316 0.10 114 Manchester-Essex Cape Ann 3 15 112 77 141 115 62 141 318 0.10 115 Bedford Dual County 7 13 88 81 109 108 104 107 319 0.10 116 Coyle-Cassidy Indep 4 12 128 113 118 104 100 118 322 0.10 117 Sharon Hocomock 4 13 98 57 125 113 90 121 324 0.10 118 Quincy Patriot 2 15 131 79 129 132 68 129 329 0.10 119 Wilmington Middlesex 2 14 106 44 134 112 86 139 337 0.10 120 Mashpee SShore 6 8 129 130 59 131 148 60 339 0.10 121 Abington SShore 6 14 95 95 128 111 102 127 340 0.10 122 Lynn-Vocational Commonwealth 5 11 141 144 110 121 110 110 341 0.10 123 New Bedford Maritime 6 12 116 111 117 116 109 117 342 0.10 124 Pope John Paul I Catholic 3 7 137 125 77 125 142 78 345 0.10 125 Mystic Valley Ch Commonwealth 3 13 144 136 126 124 96 126 346 0.10 126 North Quincy Patriot 1 15 134 68 132 137 81 130 348 0.10 127 Bourne Maritime 8 12 113 124 113 117 124 112 353 0.10 128 Dracut Merrimack 5 15 100 82 136 123 98 135 356 0.10 129 St Mary's-Lynn Catholic 5 11 114 117 111 127 121 111 359 0.10 130 Malden Greater Bosto 6 11 123 116 108 129 122 109 360 0.10 131 Oliver Ames Hocomock 2 14 111 61 138 130 105 128 363 0.10 132 Cape Cod Academy Lighthouse 2 10 142 132 88 134 144 87 365 0.10 133 Assabet Valley R MTLL 3 13 140 139 120 128 126 122 376 0.10 134 Blue Hills RVT Mayflower 1 17 149 142 146 143 93 146 382 0.10 135 Dedham Bay State 3 15 125 74 127 138 112 132 382 0.10 136 Sacred Heart-Kin Mayflower 1 17 147 131 148 140 95 148 383 0.10 137 Nantucket Maritime 0 18 135 83 149 135 106 149 390 0.10 138 Cape Cod Tech Mayflower 3 11 143 146 114 144 138 113 395 0.10 139 Lowell Catholic Catholic 1 10 145 134 102 148 147 101 396 0.10 140 Dennis-Yarmouth Atlantic 2 14 120 93 135 136 127 136 399 0.10 141 Saugus Northeast 6 14 115 120 130 139 131 131 401 0.10 142 Marian Catholic 3 16 124 104 122 133 146 123 402 0.10 143 Central Catholic Merrimack 3 17 110 56 133 126 145 134 405 0.10 144 Greater Lowell V Commonwealth 2 18 148 135 145 145 115 145 405 0.10 145 Plymouth South Atlantic 1 17 133 94 147 141 123 147 411 0.10 146 Bellingham TriVal 0 19 138 49 140 142 141 140 423 0.10 147 Cambridge Rindge Greater Bosto 2 16 139 118 144 147 137 143 427 0.10 148 Methuen Merrimack 5 15 126 122 131 146 149 133 428 0.10 149 Lynn-Classical/E Northeast 2 14 146 143 137 149 143 137 429 0.10
<