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Region = VA Evergn Nickname = A Tigers Coach = Carl KielbasaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4625473 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Stonewall Jackson VA Cedar ( 7-10, 87.0) 8-11 320 H Loudoun County VA Dulles ( 9- 7, 88.9) 9-11 324 H Freedom-South Riding VA Dulles ( 5-10, 82.7) 12-14 410 A St Johns DC DC WCAC (12- 8, 91.7) 7-12 412 H Liberty-Bealeton VA Evergn ( 2-13, 73.3) 17- 3 415 A Fauquier VA Evergn ( 3-10, 76.6) 18- 5 419 A Eastern View VA Battfd ( 7- 9, 80.1) 16- 5 422 H Culpeper HS VA Battfd ( 5-11, 78.3) 10- 0 423 A Kettle Run VA Evergn (14- 4, 92.8) 9-15 430 H Kettle Run VA Evergn (14- 4, 92.8) 13- 7 503 A Liberty-Bealeton VA Evergn ( 2-13, 73.3) 14- 6 506 H Fauquier VA Evergn ( 3-10, 76.6) 15- 6 510 H Eastern View VA Battfd ( 7- 9, 80.1) 15- 4 513 A Culpeper HS VA Battfd ( 5-11, 78.3) 9- 4 515 N Kettle Run VA Evergn (14- 4, 92.8) 3-18 519 N Eastern View VA Battfd ( 7- 9, 80.1) 13- 7 521 A Kettle Run VA Evergn (14- 4, 92.8) 13-12 524 H Dominion HS VA Dulles (12- 7, 92.2) 13-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Stonewall Jackson 8-11 -3 2 n/a 320 H Loudoun County 9-11 -2 0 - -2.63 324 H Freedom-South Riding 12-14 -2 6 --- -8.82 410 A St Johns DC 7-12 -5 -3 n/a 412 H Liberty-Bealeton 17- 3 14 16 0.00 415 A Fauquier 18- 5 13 10 0.00 419 A Eastern View 16- 5 11 7 + 2.68 422 H Culpeper HS 10- 0 10 11 0.00 423 A Kettle Run 9-15 -6 -5 -0.60 430 H Kettle Run 13- 7 6 -3 +++ 9.25 503 A Liberty-Bealeton 14- 6 8 14 - -2.00 506 H Fauquier 15- 6 9 12 -1.00 510 H Eastern View 15- 4 11 9 0.54 513 A Culpeper HS 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.07 515 N Kettle Run 3-18 -15 -4 -- -5.68 519 N Eastern View 13- 7 6 8 - -2.39 521 A Kettle Run 13-12 1 -5 +++ 6.40 524 H Dominion HS 13-17 -4 -2 -1.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Freedom-South Riding 12-14 -2 6 --- -8.82 318 H Stonewall Jackson 8-11 -3 2 -- 513 A Culpeper HS 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.07 515 N Kettle Run 3-18 -15 -4 -- -5.68 320 H Loudoun County 9-11 -2 0 - -2.63 503 A Liberty-Bealeton 14- 6 8 14 - -2.00 519 N Eastern View 13- 7 6 8 - -2.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Kettle Run 13- 7 6 -3 +++ 9.25 521 A Kettle Run 13-12 1 -5 +++ 6.40 419 A Eastern View 16- 5 11 7 + 2.68
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.45 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 65.35 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0