Region = VA    Evergn           
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Carl Kielbasa         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4625473    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   ( 7-10, 87.0)     8-11   
 320 H Loudoun County         VA    Dulles  ( 9- 7, 88.9)     9-11   
 324 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    Dulles  ( 5-10, 82.7)    12-14   
 410 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.7)     7-12   
 412 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergn  ( 2-13, 73.3)    17- 3   
 415 A Fauquier               VA    Evergn  ( 3-10, 76.6)    18- 5   
 419 A Eastern View           VA    Battfd  ( 7- 9, 80.1)    16- 5   
 422 H Culpeper HS            VA    Battfd  ( 5-11, 78.3)    10- 0   
 423 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergn  (14- 4, 92.8)     9-15   
 430 H Kettle Run             VA    Evergn  (14- 4, 92.8)    13- 7   
 503 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergn  ( 2-13, 73.3)    14- 6   
 506 H Fauquier               VA    Evergn  ( 3-10, 76.6)    15- 6   
 510 H Eastern View           VA    Battfd  ( 7- 9, 80.1)    15- 4   
 513 A Culpeper HS            VA    Battfd  ( 5-11, 78.3)     9- 4   
 515 N Kettle Run             VA    Evergn  (14- 4, 92.8)     3-18   
 519 N Eastern View           VA    Battfd  ( 7- 9, 80.1)    13- 7   
 521 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergn  (14- 4, 92.8)    13-12   
 524 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (12- 7, 92.2)    13-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Stonewall Jackson       8-11      -3     2          n/a  
   320 H Loudoun County          9-11      -2     0    -     -2.63
   324 H Freedom-South Riding   12-14      -2     6    ---   -8.82
   410 A St Johns DC             7-12      -5    -3          n/a  
   412 H Liberty-Bealeton       17- 3      14    16           0.00
   415 A Fauquier               18- 5      13    10           0.00
   419 A Eastern View           16- 5      11     7    +      2.68
   422 H Culpeper HS            10- 0      10    11           0.00
   423 A Kettle Run              9-15      -6    -5          -0.60
   430 H Kettle Run             13- 7       6    -3    +++    9.25
   503 A Liberty-Bealeton       14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   506 H Fauquier               15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   510 H Eastern View           15- 4      11     9           0.54
   513 A Culpeper HS             9- 4       5     9    --    -4.07
   515 N Kettle Run              3-18     -15    -4    --    -5.68
   519 N Eastern View           13- 7       6     8    -     -2.39
   521 A Kettle Run             13-12       1    -5    +++    6.40
   524 H Dominion HS            13-17      -4    -2          -1.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Freedom-South Riding   12-14      -2     6    ---   -8.82
   318 H Stonewall Jackson       8-11      -3     2    --         
   513 A Culpeper HS             9- 4       5     9    --    -4.07
   515 N Kettle Run              3-18     -15    -4    --    -5.68
   320 H Loudoun County          9-11      -2     0    -     -2.63
   503 A Liberty-Bealeton       14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   519 N Eastern View           13- 7       6     8    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Kettle Run             13- 7       6    -3    +++    9.25
   521 A Kettle Run             13-12       1    -5    +++    6.40
   419 A Eastern View           16- 5      11     7    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.45 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.35 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/