Region = OH 1  Reg 4            
   Nickname = H Aves                 Coach  =   Tom Nugent            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6507187    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Turpin                 OH 2  Reg 4   ( 6-12, 89.0)    12- 5   
 403 H Glenbrook North        IL A  CenSub  (11- 9, 90.1)    10- 6   
 404 H Mason                  OH 1  Reg 4   (12- 5, 88.8)     9- 6   
 407 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   ( 7-13, 86.6)     8- 5   
 411 H Dublin Jerome          OH 1  Reg 2   (15- 4, 93.4)     6- 7   
 417 A Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   (10- 8, 87.5)     5-12   
 418 A Hilliard Darby         OH 1  Reg 1   ( 3-13, 77.5)    10- 6   
 421 H Lexington Sayre        KY    Div-1A  ( 5- 9, 84.8)    16- 0   
 422 H Lakota East            OH 1  Reg 4   ( 1-15, 71.0)    16- 0   
 424 A Dublin Coffman         OH 1  Reg 1   ( 9-10, 86.5)     8-10   
 501 H Hilliard Davidson      OH 1  Reg 2   (12- 8, 87.8)     9-11   
 502 A Loveland               OH 1  Reg 4   ( 8- 9, 85.8)    12- 9   
 506 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   (14- 6, 92.5)    11-12   
 508 H Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   ( 6- 8, 81.1)    18- 5   
 514 H Mariemont              OH 2  Reg 4   (16- 5, 99.7)    10- 8   
 516 H Columbus St Charles    OH 1  Reg 2   (10- 6, 88.6)    10- 7   
 523 H Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   ( 6- 8, 81.1)    17- 3   
 527 H Loveland               OH 1  Reg 4   ( 8- 9, 85.8)    13- 6   
 601 A Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   (14- 6, 92.5)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Turpin                 12- 5       7     2          n/a  
   403 H Glenbrook North        10- 6       4     0          n/a  
   404 H Mason                   9- 6       3     2           0.95
   407 A Archbishop Moeller      8- 5       3     1           1.57
   411 H Dublin Jerome           6- 7      -1    -2           1.62
   417 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.47
   418 A Hilliard Darby         10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   421 H Lexington Sayre        16- 0      16     5          n/a  
   422 H Lakota East            16- 0      16    19           0.00
   424 A Dublin Coffman          8-10      -2     1    -     -3.52
   501 H Hilliard Davidson       9-11      -2     3    --    -5.07
   502 A Loveland               12- 9       3     2           0.78
   506 H Cincinnati St Xavier   11-12      -1    -1           0.69
   508 H Lakota West            18- 5      13     9           0.27
   514 H Mariemont              10- 8       2    -8          n/a  
   516 H Columbus St Charles    10- 7       3     2           0.73
   523 H Lakota West            17- 3      14     9           0.27
   527 H Loveland               13- 6       7     5           1.97
   601 A Cincinnati St Xavier    6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.47
   418 A Hilliard Darby         10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   501 H Hilliard Davidson       9-11      -2     3    --    -5.07
   424 A Dublin Coffman          8-10      -2     1    -     -3.52
   601 A Cincinnati St Xavier    6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Mariemont              10- 8       2    -8    +++        
   324 H Turpin                 12- 5       7     2    ++         
   421 H Lexington Sayre        16- 0      16     5    ++         
   403 H Glenbrook North        10- 6       4     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.42 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.92 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/