Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3834381    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   ( 7-10, 86.9)    11-10   
 401 H Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)     6- 5  o
 406 A Battlefield            VA    Cedar   ( 9- 5, 90.1)    16- 3   
 408 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 69.7)    17- 4   
 411 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 79.8)     7- 4   
 415 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 88.3)     7-16   
 421 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.2)     9- 5   
 423 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.1)     5- 7   
 427 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)     9- 8  o
 429 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.2)    16- 5   
 501 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     3-14   
 505 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.1)    11-10  o
 507 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.6)     5- 6   
 509 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 67.3)    16- 1   
 513 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.2)     7- 8  o
 515 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 77.8)    12- 6   
 518 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 86.6)    12- 9   
 521 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.1)    10- 9   
 527 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     6-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Syosset                11-10       1     0          n/a  
   401 H Eastport/South Manor    6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.65
   406 A Battlefield            16- 3      13    -3          n/a  
   408 A Longwood               17- 4      13    17           0.00
   411 A Riverhead               7- 4       3     7    --    -4.24
   415 H William Floyd           7-16      -9     0    ---   -8.12
   421 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   423 H West Babylon            5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.41
   427 H Middle Country          9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.99
   429 H Commack                16- 5      11    15           0.00
   501 A West Islip              3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   505 A East Islip             11-10  o    1     0           1.10
   507 A Ward Melville           5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.57
   509 H Brentwood              16- 1      15    20           0.00
   513 A Smithtown East          7- 8  o   -1    -1           0.18
   515 A North Babylon          12- 6       6     9    -     -3.25
   518 H Bay Shore              12- 9       3     0    +      2.09
   521 H East Islip             10- 9       1     0           0.64
   527 A West Islip              6-16     -10   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H William Floyd           7-16      -9     0    ---   -8.12
   421 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   427 H Middle Country          9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.99
   411 A Riverhead               7- 4       3     7    --    -4.24
   423 H West Babylon            5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.41
   401 H Eastport/South Manor    6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.65
   515 A North Babylon          12- 6       6     9    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Battlefield            16- 3      13    -3    +++        
   507 A Ward Melville           5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.57
   518 H Bay Shore              12- 9       3     0    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.24 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.00 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/