Conf =  CentMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Sean Reilly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7045059    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 414 A Grafton                MA 2          (16- 5, 92.3)     1- 8   
 416 H Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          ( 5-15, 76.6)     9- 4   
 418 H Ashland                MA 3          ( 0-19, 61.8)    11- 1   
 424 A Natick                 MA 2          (10-10, 81.1)     3- 9   
 427 H Worcester Combined     MA 2          ( 0-12, 67.7)    10- 0   
 428 H Northbridge            MA 2          (16- 5, 91.8)     4-12   
 430 A Ashland                MA 3          ( 0-19, 61.8)     8- 4   
 501 H Grafton                MA 2          (16- 5, 92.3)     4-10   
 507 A Worcester Combined     MA 2          ( 0-12, 67.7)    14- 0   
 509 H Shrewsbury             MA 2          (12- 8, 90.6)     8- 9  o
 511 H Marlborough            MA 2          (11- 8, 87.2)     6- 3   
 512 H Shepherd Hill          MA 2          ( 2-14, 74.0)     7- 2   
 514 A Northbridge            MA 2          (16- 5, 91.8)     5-14   
 518 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          ( 5-15, 76.6)     5- 3   
 519 H Holy Name Cath Cent    MA 2          ( 2- 9, 76.4)    12- 3   
 520 A Hopkinton              MA 2          (10- 9, 84.0)     4-12   
 521 A Shepherd Hill          MA 2          ( 2-14, 74.0)     9- 4   
 527 A Algonquin              MA 2          (19- 3, 98.8)     2-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Grafton                 1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   416 H Tantasqua Regional      9- 4       5     7    -     -2.39
   418 H Ashland                11- 1      10    22          n/a  
   424 A Natick                  3- 9      -6     1          n/a  
   427 H Worcester Combined     10- 0      10    16           0.00
   428 H Northbridge             4-12      -8    -7          -0.18
   430 A Ashland                 8- 4       4    20          n/a  
   501 H Grafton                 4-10      -6    -8    +      2.34
   507 A Worcester Combined     14- 0      14    14           0.00
   509 H Shrewsbury              8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.69
   511 H Marlborough             6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.25
   512 H Shepherd Hill           7- 2       5     9    --    -4.92
   514 A Northbridge             5-14      -9    -9           0.70
   518 A Tantasqua Regional      5- 3       2     5    -     -3.51
   519 H Holy Name Cath Cent    12- 3       9     7           1.47
   520 A Hopkinton               4-12      -8    -1          n/a  
   521 A Shepherd Hill           9- 4       5     8    -     -3.05
   527 A Algonquin               2-12     -10   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Natick                  3- 9      -6     1    ---        
   430 A Ashland                 8- 4       4    20    ---        
   520 A Hopkinton               4-12      -8    -1    ---        
   512 H Shepherd Hill           7- 2       5     9    --    -4.92
   416 H Tantasqua Regional      9- 4       5     7    -     -2.39
   518 A Tantasqua Regional      5- 3       2     5    -     -3.51
   521 A Shepherd Hill           9- 4       5     8    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Marlborough             6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.25
   509 H Shrewsbury              8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.69
   414 A Grafton                 1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   501 H Grafton                 4-10      -6    -8    +      2.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.01 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.91 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
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