Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY C  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Joe Cuozzo            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3265686    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.0)    11- 6   
 408 A Shoreham-Wading River  NY B  Sec 11  (15- 3, 93.4)     4- 9   
 411 A Wantagh                NY B  Sec 8   (12- 6, 89.0)     7- 9   
 414 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)     8- 5   
 418 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.5)     8- 7   
 420 H Greenport-Mattituck-SH NY B  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 64.0)    18- 0   
 422 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 85.0)     8- 5   
 424 H Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.0)    12- 4   
 427 H Smithtown West         NY B  Sec 11  (12- 8, 88.5)     4- 9   
 430 H East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.7)     8- 3   
 502 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (15- 4, 91.2)     4- 7   
 504 A Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.2)     9- 4   
 506 A Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 83.8)     8- 6   
 509 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.9)     3- 4   
 512 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 87.4)     8- 6   
 514 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.5)     9- 8  o
 519 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (15- 6, 90.4)     1- 6   
 604 N John Glenn - Elwood    NY C  Sec 11  (10- 9, 83.1)    11- 8   
 609 N Manhasset              NY C  Sec 8   (20- 1, 99.9)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Connetquot             11- 6       5     1    +      3.85
   408 A Shoreham-Wading River   4- 9      -5    -6           1.71
   411 A Wantagh                 7- 9      -2    -2          n/a  
   414 A Eastport/South Manor    8- 5       3     3          -0.90
   418 H Kings Park              8- 7       1     5    --    -4.64
   420 H Greenport-Mattituck-SH 18- 0      18    23           0.00
   422 H Half Hollow Hills West  8- 5       3     2           0.88
   424 H Deer Park              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   427 H Smithtown West          4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.62
   430 H East Hampton            8- 3       5     2    +      2.48
   502 A Comsewogue              4- 7      -3    -4           1.52
   504 A Islip                   9- 4       5     5          -0.50
   506 A Huntington              8- 6       2     2          -0.91
   509 H Bayport-Blue Point      3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.28
   512 A Rocky Point             8- 6       2     0    +      2.64
   514 A Hauppauge               9- 8  o    1     0           0.83
   519 H Sayville                1- 6      -5    -3          -1.77
   604 N John Glenn - Elwood    11- 8       3     3          -0.88
   609 N Manhasset               6-10      -4   -12          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Kings Park              8- 7       1     5    --    -4.64
   509 H Bayport-Blue Point      3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.28
   424 H Deer Park              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   427 H Smithtown West          4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   609 N Manhasset               6-10      -4   -12    +++        
   401 H Connetquot             11- 6       5     1    +      3.85
   430 H East Hampton            8- 3       5     2    +      2.48
   512 A Rocky Point             8- 6       2     0    +      2.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.94 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.56 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/