Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY B  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Nils Haugen           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2939758    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   (13- 6, 90.8)     5-11   
 404 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 81.4)    10- 6   
 408 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.5)    10-13   
 414 A Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  (10- 7, 82.9)     6- 7   
 416 A Smithtown West         NY B  Sec 11  (12- 8, 88.5)     7- 6  o
 420 H Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.0)    14- 5   
 422 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.9)     5- 8   
 424 H John Glenn - Elwood    NY C  Sec 11  (10- 9, 83.1)     9- 4   
 428 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (15- 6, 90.4)     9-10   
 430 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.5)     9- 7   
 502 A Shoreham-Wading River  NY B  Sec 11  (15- 3, 93.4)     5-11   
 506 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 87.4)     7-15   
 509 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)    18- 9   
 512 H Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 83.8)    14- 6   
 514 A East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.7)    13- 8   
 516 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.2)    18- 7   
 519 H Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (15- 4, 91.2)     7-15   
 522 A Shoreham-Wading River  NY B  Sec 11  (15- 3, 93.4)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Baldwin                 5-11      -6    -5          n/a  
   404 A Lindenhurst            10- 6       4     3           0.59
   408 H Hauppauge              10-13      -3    -1          -1.73
   414 A Bayport-Blue Point      6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.93
   416 A Smithtown West          7- 6  o    1    -3    ++     4.73
   420 H Deer Park              14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   422 A Mount Sinai             5- 8      -3    -2          -0.88
   424 H John Glenn - Elwood     9- 4       5     2    +      2.79
   428 H Sayville                9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.12
   430 H Kings Park              9- 7       2     3          -1.75
   502 A Shoreham-Wading River   5-11      -6    -8    +      2.60
   506 A Rocky Point             7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.47
   509 A Eastport/South Manor   18- 9       9     2    +++    7.00
   512 H Huntington             14- 6       8     1    +++    6.53
   514 A East Hampton           13- 8       5     0    ++     4.83
   516 H Half Hollow Hills East 18- 7      11     9           0.93
   519 H Comsewogue              7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.04
   522 A Shoreham-Wading River   7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Rocky Point             7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.47
   414 A Bayport-Blue Point      6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.93
   519 H Comsewogue              7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Eastport/South Manor   18- 9       9     2    +++    7.00
   512 H Huntington             14- 6       8     1    +++    6.53
   416 A Smithtown West          7- 6  o    1    -3    ++     4.73
   428 H Sayville                9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.12
   514 A East Hampton           13- 8       5     0    ++     4.83
   522 A Shoreham-Wading River   7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.60
   424 H John Glenn - Elwood     9- 4       5     2    +      2.79
   502 A Shoreham-Wading River   5-11      -6    -8    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.05 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.09 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/