Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Mike Conway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8038025    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   (13- 6, 90.2)     1- 5   
 331 H Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  (13- 6, 85.1)     5- 8   
 407 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 89.0)     6- 8   
 415 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.6)     1-12   
 417 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.1)     3- 7   
 421 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.2)     5- 9   
 423 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 77.8)     9- 2   
 425 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 86.6)     6-15   
 429 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 67.3)    13- 8   
 501 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 88.3)     1-14   
 505 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.1)     2- 5   
 507 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)     6- 7 4o
 509 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 79.8)     4- 5   
 511 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.2)     6- 5   
 513 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 76.3)     3- 7   
 516 A Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 85.0)     7-18   
 518 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 69.7)    13- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Plainedge               1- 5      -4   -13          n/a  
   331 H Harborfields            5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.70
   407 H Walt Whitman            6- 8      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   415 H Ward Melville           1-12     -11   -17           0.00
   417 H East Islip              3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   421 A Sachem North            5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   423 H North Babylon           9- 2       7    -1    +++    8.32
   425 H Bay Shore               6-15      -9   -10           1.00
   429 A Brentwood              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.67
   501 A William Floyd           1-14     -13   -12           0.00
   505 A West Babylon            2- 5      -3    -8    ++     5.08
   507 H Middle Country          6- 7 4o   -1    -2           1.04
   509 A Riverhead               4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.79
   511 A Commack                 6- 5       1     3    -     -2.80
   513 H Copiague                3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.12
   516 A Half Hollow Hills West  7-18     -11    -9          -0.93
   518 A Longwood               13- 4       9     6    +      2.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Copiague                3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.12
   429 A Brentwood              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.67
   511 A Commack                 6- 5       1     3    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Plainedge               1- 5      -4   -13    +++        
   407 H Walt Whitman            6- 8      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   417 H East Islip              3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   421 A Sachem North            5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   423 H North Babylon           9- 2       7    -1    +++    8.32
   331 H Harborfields            5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.70
   505 A West Babylon            2- 5      -3    -8    ++     5.08
   509 A Riverhead               4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.79
   518 A Longwood               13- 4       9     6    +      2.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.20 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.21 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/