Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Stack           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1892090    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 90.2)     5- 6   
 403 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 6, 86.6)     4-10   
 408 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     3-13   
 415 A Pine Richland          PA    Div1-S2 ( 8- 7, 92.3)     6- 4   
 416 A Bethel Park            PA    Div1-S1 (12- 6, 96.7)     5-10   
 417 A Hampton                PA    Div2-S2 (16- 5, 96.4)     8- 7   
 421 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 64.2)    20- 4   
 424 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 61.8)    17- 1   
 425 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.2)     8- 3   
 428 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 69.5)    14- 1   
 430 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 85.6)     8- 7  o
 503 H Mount Lebanon          PA    Div1-S1 (14- 8, 96.8)     6- 7  o
 505 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.6)    12- 4   
 508 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 78.8)    16- 6   
 511 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 79.5)    10- 6   
 516 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 91.6)     5-10   
 519 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 86.4)    10- 9   
 526 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 87.2)    11-10   
 530 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 69.5)    17- 0   
 602 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 86.4)     9- 8   
 605 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Pittsford               5- 6      -1    -3          n/a  
   403 A Amherst                 4-10      -6     0    ---   -6.17
   408 H Orchard Park            3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   415 A Pine Richland           6- 4       2    -5          n/a  
   416 A Bethel Park             5-10      -5   -10          n/a  
   417 A Hampton                 8- 7       1    -9          n/a  
   421 H North Tonawanda        20- 4      16    24           0.00
   424 A Jamestown              17- 1      16    24           0.00
   425 H Timon St Jude           8- 3       5     0    ++     5.24
   428 A Lockport               14- 1      13    17           0.00
   430 A Clarence                8- 7  o    1     1          -0.14
   503 H Mount Lebanon           6- 7  o   -1    -7          n/a  
   505 H Lancaster              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   508 H Williamsville North    16- 6      10    10           0.00
   511 A West Seneca East       10- 6       4     7    -     -3.28
   516 H Hamburg                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.44
   519 A Niagara Wheatfield     10- 9       1     0           0.64
   526 A Sweet Home             11-10       1     0           1.41
   530 H Lockport               17- 0      17    19           0.00
   602 H Niagara Wheatfield      9- 8       1     2          -1.58
   605 N Orchard Park            3-17     -14   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Amherst                 4-10      -6     0    ---   -6.17
   505 H Lancaster              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   511 A West Seneca East       10- 6       4     7    -     -3.28
   516 H Hamburg                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Pine Richland           6- 4       2    -5    +++        
   417 A Hampton                 8- 7       1    -9    +++        
   503 H Mount Lebanon           6- 7  o   -1    -7    +++        
   416 A Bethel Park             5-10      -5   -10    ++         
   425 H Timon St Jude           8- 3       5     0    ++     5.24
   326 A Pittsford               5- 6      -1    -3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.89 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.67 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/