Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Bob Moltisanti Jr.    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3090363    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Oceanside              NY A  Sec 8   ( 9- 7, 85.1)     4- 9   
 401 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.9)     6-11   
 407 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 76.3)    14- 7   
 415 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 81.4)    13- 4   
 417 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 77.8)    14- 8   
 423 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 78.4)    14- 8   
 424 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 67.3)    20- 4   
 427 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 79.2)    10- 8   
 429 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 79.8)    12- 5   
 501 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.6)     8-16   
 506 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.1)    12-10   
 508 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     5-13   
 509 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.2)    15- 3   
 513 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 86.6)     4- 6   
 515 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 89.0)     8-15   
 518 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.2)     4- 3   
 527 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.2)    10- 7   
 530 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Oceanside               4- 9      -5     1          n/a  
   401 A Mount Sinai             6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.85
   407 H Copiague               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.93
   415 H Lindenhurst            13- 4       9     4    ++     4.16
   417 A North Babylon          14- 8       6     8    -     -2.03
   423 H Patchogue-Medford      14- 8       6     7          -1.82
   424 H Brentwood              20- 4      16    18           0.00
   427 H Sachem East            10- 8       2     7    --    -5.08
   429 A Riverhead              12- 5       7     6           0.98
   501 A Ward Melville           8-16      -8    -7          -0.21
   506 A Northport              12-10       2     2          -0.69
   508 H West Islip              5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   509 A Commack                15- 3      12    13           0.00
   513 A Bay Shore               4- 6      -2     0          -1.23
   515 A Walt Whitman            8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.82
   518 H Smithtown East          4- 3       1    -1    +      2.94
   527 A Smithtown East         10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.40
   530 A West Islip              4-10      -6   -14    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Oceanside               4- 9      -5     1    ---        
   427 H Sachem East            10- 8       2     7    --    -5.08
   401 A Mount Sinai             6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.85
   407 H Copiague               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.93
   417 A North Babylon          14- 8       6     8    -     -2.03
   515 A Walt Whitman            8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Lindenhurst            13- 4       9     4    ++     4.16
   527 A Smithtown East         10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.40
   530 A West Islip              4-10      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   508 H West Islip              5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   518 H Smithtown East          4- 3       1    -1    +      2.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.02 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.97 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/