Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Cougars                                               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.8365784    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Hanover Park           NJ    Grp-III ( 4- 9, 77.1)    15- 0   
 404 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 6, 91.0)    11- 4   
 407 A Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-13, 78.7)    17- 3   
 413 A Ridgewood              NJ    Grp-III (16- 7, 95.4)     4- 9   
 415 A West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   (12- 5, 92.0)     8- 5   
 420 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   (12- 7, 90.9)     4- 8   
 425 H Randolph               NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 8, 90.4)    17- 6   
 427 H Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (11- 6, 91.6)     8- 7   
 429 H Madison                NJ    Grp-I   (11-10, 88.9)    13- 5   
 501 H Summit                 NJ    Grp-II  (22- 1, 99.9)     7- 8  o
 505 H Jefferson Twp          NJ    Grp-I   (10-10, 84.1)     9- 2   
 507 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-II  (15- 5, 93.3)     6- 5   
 509 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (19- 3, 99.2)     6- 8   
 514 H Mendham                NJ    Grp-II  (12- 6, 92.4)     2- 7   
 516 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-II  (15- 5, 93.3)    12- 5   
 520 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (11- 7, 81.7)    14- 3   
 523 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   (12- 7, 90.9)     9- 8   
 526 H Madison                NJ    Grp-I   (11-10, 88.9)    11- 5   
 529 N Kinnelon               NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 94.8)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Hanover Park           15- 0      15    18           0.00
   404 A Hunterdon Central      11- 4       7     2    ++     4.77
   407 A Columbia               17- 3      14    14           0.00
   413 A Ridgewood               4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.85
   415 A West Essex Regional     8- 5       3     1           1.76
   420 A A.L.Johnson-Clark       4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.41
   425 H Randolph               17- 6      11     4    ++     5.07
   427 H Seton Hall Prep         8- 7       1     3    -     -2.69
   429 H Madison                13- 5       8     6           1.60
   501 H Summit                  7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.58
   505 H Jefferson Twp           9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   507 H West Morris Central     6- 5       1     2          -1.03
   509 N Delbarton               6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.94
   514 H Mendham                 2- 7      -5     2    ---   -7.87
   516 H West Morris Central    12- 5       7     2    ++     4.97
   520 H Manasquan              14- 3      11    13           0.00
   523 H A.L.Johnson-Clark       9- 8       1     4    -     -3.47
   526 H Madison                11- 5       6     6          -0.40
   529 N Kinnelon                9-11      -2     0          -1.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A A.L.Johnson-Clark       4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.41
   514 H Mendham                 2- 7      -5     2    ---   -7.87
   413 A Ridgewood               4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.85
   427 H Seton Hall Prep         8- 7       1     3    -     -2.69
   505 H Jefferson Twp           9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   523 H A.L.Johnson-Clark       9- 8       1     4    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Hunterdon Central      11- 4       7     2    ++     4.77
   425 H Randolph               17- 6      11     4    ++     5.07
   516 H West Morris Central    12- 5       7     2    ++     4.97
   501 H Summit                  7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.58
   509 N Delbarton               6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.29 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.97 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/