Covington Catholic            3 - 7


 
                                     Region = KY    Div-1B           
   Nickname = Y Colonels             Coach  =   John Cahill           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.0171738    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Lexington Sayre        KY    Div-1A  ( 5- 9, 84.8)     5-17   
 314 A Lexington Tates Creek  KY    Div-1B  ( 1- 9, 71.2)    16- 5   
 321 H Christian Academy      KY    Div-1B  ( 5- 9, 81.2)     7-13   
 321 H Vianney Marianist      MO    Div-1   (10-10, 89.5)     6-18   
 325 A Kentucky Country Day   KY    Div-1B  (12- 3, 93.5)     4-18   
 330 H Anderson               OH 4  South   (14- 4, 89.6)     1-12   
 408 A Oldham                 KY    Div-1C  ( 5- 7, 76.8)    10- 4   
 418 H DuPont Manual          KY    Div-1B  ( 7- 7, 82.4)     7- 9   
 425 A Lexington Dunbar       KY    Div-1B  ( 8- 5, 88.3)     7-20   
 502 H Lexington Henry Clay   KY    Div-1B  ( 2- 8, 77.5)    16- 8   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Lexington Sayre         5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.82
   314 A Lexington Tates Creek  16- 5      11     5    ++     4.42
   321 H Christian Academy       7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.41
   321 H Vianney Marianist       6-18     -12   -11          n/a  
   325 A Kentucky Country Day    4-18     -14   -16           0.00
   330 H Anderson                1-12     -11   -10          n/a  
   408 A Oldham                 10- 4       6     0    +++    6.04
   418 H DuPont Manual           7- 9      -2    -3           1.79
   425 A Lexington Dunbar        7-20     -13   -11           0.00
   502 H Lexington Henry Clay   16- 8       8     1    +++    6.83


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Lexington Sayre         5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.82
   321 H Christian Academy       7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.41


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Oldham                 10- 4       6     0    +++    6.04
   502 H Lexington Henry Clay   16- 8       8     1    +++    6.83
   314 A Lexington Tates Creek  16- 5      11     5    ++     4.42




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.69 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.41 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3


  
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