Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Joe Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5239563    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.0)  7
 402 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 6, 91.2)     3- 9   
 414 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     4-13   
 417 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.0)     7- 5   
 420 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 93.1)  2
 421 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 87.1)     6- 5 2o
 424 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 6, 91.2)     7- 8  o
 428 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 87.1)     8- 0   
 501 H Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 2- 5, 86.8)     2- 3   
 504 A Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 93.1)     4- 9   
 505 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     6- 3   
 508 A Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 2- 5, 86.8)    10- 2   
 509 N Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 93.1)     8- 7   
 510 N Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Gow School              3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.12
   414 A Genesee                 4-13      -9    -8          -0.40
   417 A Newfane                 7- 5       2     5    -     -3.29
   421 A Kenmore East            6- 5 2o    1     4    -     -3.22
   424 H Gow School              7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.36
   428 H Kenmore East            8- 0       8     6           1.54
   501 H Wilson                  2- 3      -1     6    ---   -7.72
   504 A Erie-Spears             4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.21
   505 H Genesee                 6- 3       3    -6    +++    9.36
   508 A Wilson                 10- 2       8     4    +      3.52
   509 N Erie-Spears             8- 7       1     0           1.67
   510 N Genesee                 4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Gow School              3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.12
   501 H Wilson                  2- 3      -1     6    ---   -7.72
   417 A Newfane                 7- 5       2     5    -     -3.29
   421 A Kenmore East            6- 5 2o    1     4    -     -3.22
   424 H Gow School              7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.36
   504 A Erie-Spears             4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Genesee                 6- 3       3    -6    +++    9.36
   508 A Wilson                 10- 2       8     4    +      3.52
   510 N Genesee                 4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.42 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.32 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/