Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Bill Waldron          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7532501    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 N Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (10- 9, 82.3)     9-10   
 327 A Susquehannock          PA    York 1  (16- 0, 94.0)     5-17   
 331 H Conrad Weiser          PA    PVLL-BC (13- 8, 74.5)    14- 4   
 403 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 1-12, 70.7)     6- 3   
 405 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (11- 6, 85.4)    10- 6   
 411 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 86.4)     2- 8   
 414 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 74.5)    12- 9   
 417 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 8, 82.1)    11- 4   
 419 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 5-10, 78.1)    12- 5   
 421 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (14- 8, 85.9)    12-11   
 428 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 77.2)     9-10  o
 430 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 89.2)     3- 7   
 501 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    (15- 5, 84.8)     8-14   
 505 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (12-11, 85.5)     7-15   
 510 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 67.5)    14- 2   
 512 H South-Western          PA    York 1  (10- 8, 84.0)    14- 4   
 515 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 91.6)     3-11   
 522 H New Oxford             PA    York 1  ( 1-13, 63.9)     1- 0   
 525 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (26- 1, 99.9)     1-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Penn Manor              9-10      -1     0          -1.69
   327 A Susquehannock           5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   331 H Conrad Weiser          14- 4      10     9          n/a  
   403 A Elizabethtown           6- 3       3    11    ---   -7.00
   405 A Lower Dauphin          10- 6       4    -3    +++    7.47
   411 A Hershey                 2- 8      -6    -4          -1.46
   414 H Central Dauphin East   12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.43
   417 A Chambersburg           11- 4       7     0    +++    7.18
   419 A Harrisburg Academy     12- 5       7     3    +      3.21
   421 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12-11       1    -1    +      2.95
   428 H Central Dauphin         9-10  o   -1     6    ---   -7.80
   430 A Carlisle                3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.28
   501 A Cocalico                8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.11
   505 H Conestoga Valley        7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.49
   510 A Bishop McDevitt        14- 2      12    14           0.00
   512 H South-Western          14- 4      10     0    +++    9.98
   515 A Cumberland Valley       3-11      -8    -9           1.70
   525 A Manheim Township        1-17     -16   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Elizabethtown           6- 3       3    11    ---   -7.00
   414 H Central Dauphin East   12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.43
   428 H Central Dauphin         9-10  o   -1     6    ---   -7.80
   505 H Conestoga Valley        7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.49
   501 A Cocalico                8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Lower Dauphin          10- 6       4    -3    +++    7.47
   417 A Chambersburg           11- 4       7     0    +++    7.18
   512 H South-Western          14- 4      10     0    +++    9.98
   419 A Harrisburg Academy     12- 5       7     3    +      3.21
   421 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12-11       1    -1    +      2.95
   430 A Carlisle                3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.94 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.17 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/