Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Larry Thomas          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8559113    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Northern York          PA    York 1  (13- 4, 86.4)    15- 2   
 403 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 74.5)    20- 6   
 405 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10- 9, 82.9)     6-10   
 410 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (12-11, 85.5)     6- 7   
 414 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 8, 82.1)    11-10   
 418 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 1-12, 70.7)    13- 0   
 420 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 89.2)     7-14   
 423 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 67.5)    14- 3   
 426 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 5-10, 78.1)    12- 8   
 428 H Red Lion               PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 79.6)    13- 8   
 501 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 77.2)     9- 7   
 503 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 71.6)    17-13   
 505 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 86.4)    12-15   
 508 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (19- 7, 90.9)     7-19   
 512 H Dallastown             PA    York 1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    16- 7   
 515 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 7-12, 78.1)    17- 5   
 517 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 91.6)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Northern York          15- 2      13     0    +++   10.02
   403 A Central Dauphin East   20- 6      14     9           0.19
   405 H Palmyra                 6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.47
   410 A Conestoga Valley        6- 7      -1    -1           0.13
   414 A Chambersburg           11-10       1     2          -1.26
   418 H Elizabethtown          13- 0      13    15           0.00
   420 A Carlisle                7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.16
   423 A Bishop McDevitt        14- 3      11    16           0.00
   426 A Harrisburg Academy     12- 8       4     6    -     -2.23
   428 H Red Lion               13- 8       5     6          -1.83
   501 H Central Dauphin         9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.24
   503 H Lancaster Cou Day      17-13       4    14    ---   -6.00
   505 H Hershey                12-15      -3     0    -     -2.96
   508 H Warwick                 7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.50
   512 H Dallastown             16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   515 H Ephrata                17- 5      12     8           1.65
   517 H Cumberland Valley       5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Palmyra                 6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.47
   501 H Central Dauphin         9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.24
   503 H Lancaster Cou Day      17-13       4    14    ---   -6.00
   508 H Warwick                 7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.50
   517 H Cumberland Valley       5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.80
   420 A Carlisle                7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.16
   426 A Harrisburg Academy     12- 8       4     6    -     -2.23
   505 H Hershey                12-15      -3     0    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Northern York          15- 2      13     0    +++   10.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.38 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.81 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/