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Region = PA Mid 1 Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Larry ThomasGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.8559113 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Northern York PA York 1 (13- 4, 86.4) 15- 2 403 A Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 74.5) 20- 6 405 H Palmyra PA Mid 1 (10- 9, 82.9) 6-10 410 A Conestoga Valley PA LL04 (12-11, 85.5) 6- 7 414 A Chambersburg PA Mid 1 ( 9- 8, 82.1) 11-10 418 H Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 1-12, 70.7) 13- 0 420 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (13- 5, 89.2) 7-14 423 A Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 1-14, 67.5) 14- 3 426 A Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 ( 5-10, 78.1) 12- 8 428 H Red Lion PA York 1 ( 8-10, 79.6) 13- 8 501 H Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 77.2) 9- 7 503 H Lancaster Cou Day PA LL04 ( 1-15, 71.6) 17-13 505 H Hershey PA Mid 1 (12- 6, 86.4) 12-15 508 H Warwick PA LL04 (19- 7, 90.9) 7-19 512 H Dallastown PA York 1 ( 6-12, 74.4) 16- 7 515 H Ephrata PA LL04 ( 7-12, 78.1) 17- 5 517 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (15- 4, 91.6) 5-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Northern York 15- 2 13 0 +++ 10.02 403 A Central Dauphin East 20- 6 14 9 0.19 405 H Palmyra 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.47 410 A Conestoga Valley 6- 7 -1 -1 0.13 414 A Chambersburg 11-10 1 2 -1.26 418 H Elizabethtown 13- 0 13 15 0.00 420 A Carlisle 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.16 423 A Bishop McDevitt 14- 3 11 16 0.00 426 A Harrisburg Academy 12- 8 4 6 - -2.23 428 H Red Lion 13- 8 5 6 -1.83 501 H Central Dauphin 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.24 503 H Lancaster Cou Day 17-13 4 14 --- -6.00 505 H Hershey 12-15 -3 0 - -2.96 508 H Warwick 7-19 -12 -4 -- -5.50 512 H Dallastown 16- 7 9 12 -1.00 515 H Ephrata 17- 5 12 8 1.65 517 H Cumberland Valley 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.80UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Palmyra 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.47 501 H Central Dauphin 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.24 503 H Lancaster Cou Day 17-13 4 14 --- -6.00 508 H Warwick 7-19 -12 -4 -- -5.50 517 H Cumberland Valley 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.80 420 A Carlisle 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.16 426 A Harrisburg Academy 12- 8 4 6 - -2.23 505 H Hershey 12-15 -3 0 - -2.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Northern York 15- 2 13 0 +++ 10.02/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.38 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 58.81 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 23 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0