Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Pioneers             Coach  =   Dennis Erb            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5497208    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A West Chester Rustin    PA    Suburb  ( 1-17, 73.3)    12- 6   
 329 A Northern York          PA    York 1  (13- 4, 86.4)     5- 7   
 331 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 86.4)     7- 6  o
 403 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (12-11, 85.5)     9-10   
 405 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (10- 9, 82.3)     7- 8   
 410 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (19- 7, 90.9)     2-13   
 414 H Daniel Boone           PA    Indep   ( 9- 3, 77.5)    22- 3   
 414 H Central York           PA    York 1  ( 2-10, 68.7)    16- 1   
 421 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10- 9, 82.9)    11-12   
 424 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (26- 1, 99.9)     7-19   
 426 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 67.5)    15- 2   
 428 N Central Susquehanna    PA    CSNLL   ( 8- 3, 77.9)    18- 4   
 428 A Spring Grove           PA    York 1  ( 7- 9, 74.8)    21- 7   
 430 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 7-12, 78.1)    11- 8   
 502 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 1-12, 70.7)    21- 4   
 503 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    (15- 5, 84.8)    11- 5   
 504 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 5-10, 78.1)    11- 9   
 508 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 71.6)    13- 7   
 510 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (10- 9, 82.3)    15- 9   
 512 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (18- 6, 94.1)     1-13   
 514 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (19- 7, 90.9)     6-12   
 515 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 77.2)    11-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A West Chester Rustin    12- 6       6    11          n/a  
   329 A Northern York           5- 7      -2    -1          -0.46
   331 H Hershey                 7- 6  o    1     0           0.49
   403 A Conestoga Valley        9-10      -1     0          -0.41
   405 H Penn Manor              7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.70
   410 A Warwick                 2-13     -11    -6    -     -3.98
   414 H Daniel Boone           22- 3      19     9          n/a  
   414 H Central York           16- 1      15    18           0.00
   421 A Palmyra                11-12      -1     1    -     -2.95
   424 A Manheim Township        7-19     -12   -15           0.00
   426 H Bishop McDevitt        15- 2      13    19           0.00
   428 N Central Susquehanna    18- 4      14     8           1.94
   428 A Spring Grove           21- 7      14    10           0.00
   430 H Ephrata                11- 8       3     8    --    -5.89
   502 H Elizabethtown          21- 4      17    16           0.00
   503 H Cocalico               11- 5       6     2    +      3.85
   504 A Harrisburg Academy     11- 9       2     6    --    -4.77
   508 A Lancaster Cou Day      13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   510 A Penn Manor             15- 9       6     2    +      3.36
   512 H Hempfield               1-13     -12    -7    -     -2.90
   514 A Warwick                 6-12      -6    -6           0.02
   515 A Central Dauphin        11-10       1     7    ---   -6.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Central Dauphin        11-10       1     7    ---   -6.72
   327 A West Chester Rustin    12- 6       6    11    --         
   405 H Penn Manor              7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.70
   430 H Ephrata                11- 8       3     8    --    -5.89
   504 A Harrisburg Academy     11- 9       2     6    --    -4.77
   508 A Lancaster Cou Day      13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   410 A Warwick                 2-13     -11    -6    -     -3.98
   421 A Palmyra                11-12      -1     1    -     -2.95
   512 H Hempfield               1-13     -12    -7    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Cocalico               11- 5       6     2    +      3.85
   510 A Penn Manor             15- 9       6     2    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.92 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.19 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/