Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Rob Umble             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5905151    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Dallastown             PA    York 1  ( 6-12, 74.4)     6- 7  o
 329 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (19- 7, 90.9)     4-16   
 331 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 67.5)    11- 0   
 403 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (26- 1, 99.9)     1-16   
 405 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (12-11, 85.5)     5-12   
 410 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 7-12, 78.1)     7-15   
 413 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 1-12, 70.7)     4- 7   
 419 H Red Lion               PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 79.6)     2- 7   
 421 A Moravian Academy       PA    PVLL-LV ( 7- 9, 77.9)     5-12   
 424 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    (15- 5, 84.8)     7-14   
 426 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 77.2)     4- 6   
 501 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (10- 9, 82.3)     4-18   
 503 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (11- 6, 85.4)    13-17   
 507 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 5-10, 78.1)     7- 9   
 508 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (14- 8, 85.9)     7-13   
 510 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (18- 6, 94.1)     0-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Dallastown              6- 7  o   -1    -3    +      2.76
   329 H Warwick                 4-16     -12   -18           0.00
   331 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 0      11     5    ++     4.86
   403 H Manheim Township        1-16     -15   -27           0.00
   405 H Conestoga Valley        5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   410 A Ephrata                 7-15      -8    -7          -0.54
   413 A Elizabethtown           4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.85
   419 H Red Lion                2- 7      -5    -6           1.92
   421 A Moravian Academy        5-12      -7    -7          n/a  
   424 H Cocalico                7-14      -7   -12    +      3.00
   426 A Central Dauphin         4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.57
   501 A Penn Manor              4-18     -14   -11           0.00
   503 A Lower Dauphin          13-17      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   507 H Harrisburg Academy      7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.46
   508 H Lampeter-Strasburg      7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   510 A Hempfield               0-14     -14   -23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Elizabethtown           4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Lower Dauphin          13-17      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   331 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 0      11     5    ++     4.86
   426 A Central Dauphin         4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.57
   508 H Lampeter-Strasburg      7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   322 A Dallastown              6- 7  o   -1    -3    +      2.76
   405 H Conestoga Valley        5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   424 H Cocalico                7-14      -7   -12    +      3.00
   507 H Harrisburg Academy      7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.63 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.05 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
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