Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Bears                                                 

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1747360    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (19- 7, 90.9)     1-10   
 329 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 7-12, 78.1)     8-10   
 403 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10- 9, 82.9)     3- 6   
 413 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 71.6)     7- 4   
 416 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (26- 1, 99.9)     0-19   
 418 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (11- 6, 85.4)     0-13   
 423 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (10- 9, 82.3)     3-12   
 424 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 7-12, 78.1)     2-13   
 502 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (14- 8, 85.9)     4-21   
 504 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (18- 6, 94.1)     1-17   
 508 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (12-11, 85.5)     1-14   
 510 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    (15- 5, 84.8)     1- 5   
 515 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 5-10, 78.1)     2- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Warwick                 1-10      -9   -21           1.00
   329 H Ephrata                 8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.28
   403 H Palmyra                 3- 6      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   413 H Lancaster Cou Day       7- 4       3     0    +      2.85
   416 H Manheim Township        0-19     -19   -28           0.00
   418 A Lower Dauphin           0-13     -13   -15           0.00
   423 H Penn Manor              3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   424 A Ephrata                 2-13     -11    -8          -1.65
   502 A Lampeter-Strasburg      4-21     -17   -16           0.00
   504 A Hempfield               1-17     -16   -24           0.00
   508 A Conestoga Valley        1-14     -13   -15           0.00
   510 H Cocalico                1- 5      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   515 H Harrisburg Academy      2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Palmyra                 3- 6      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   510 H Cocalico                1- 5      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   329 H Ephrata                 8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.28
   413 H Lancaster Cou Day       7- 4       3     0    +      2.85
   515 H Harrisburg Academy      2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.75 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.38 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    2.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/