Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Chris Arnold          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5640335    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Bluffton               SC    East    ( 9-10, 87.5)    11- 4   
 411 H Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 5-11, 84.5)    12- 5   
 413 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 4-11, 83.7)     9- 5   
 418 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 9, 89.6)     9- 8 2o
 421 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     (12- 5, 93.1)     7- 4   
 423 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (17- 2, 99.9)     5-11   
 425 A Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 1-14, 76.3)     7- 4   
 428 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 9, 90.4)     6- 3   
 430 A Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 5-11, 84.5)    13- 7   
 502 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 4-11, 83.7)     5- 2   
 504 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (17- 2, 99.9)     3-10   
 507 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 9, 89.6)     8- 7   
 509 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     (12- 5, 93.1)     2- 3 2o
 511 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 1-14, 76.3)    13- 3   
 514 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 9, 90.4)     2- 9   
 518 H St Francis Prep        NY    Cathlc  ( 6-10, 84.5)    13- 5   
 519 H Midwood                NY    PSAL    (17- 4, 94.1)    10- 7   
 521 A Iona Prep              NY    Cathlc  (22- 2, 96.1)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Bluffton               11- 4       7     4          n/a  
   411 H Riverdale Cou Day      12- 5       7     9    -     -2.60
   413 A Dalton                  9- 5       4     8    --    -4.04
   418 A Horace Mann             9- 8 2o    1     2          -1.18
   421 H Trinity School          7- 4       3     0    +      2.00
   423 A Fieldston               5-11      -6    -8    +      2.16
   425 A Collegiate              7- 4       3    15    ---   -7.00
   428 A Poly Prep               6- 3       3     1           1.69
   430 A Riverdale Cou Day      13- 7       6     7          -1.22
   502 H Dalton                  5- 2       3    10    ---   -7.00
   504 H Fieldston               3-10      -7    -5          -1.22
   507 H Horace Mann             8- 7       1     4    -     -3.56
   509 A Trinity School          2- 3 2o   -1    -1           0.38
   511 H Collegiate             13- 3      10    17           0.00
   514 H Poly Prep               2- 9      -7     3    ---  -10.69
   518 H St Francis Prep        13- 5       8     9          -1.65
   519 H Midwood                10- 7       3     0    +      2.93
   521 A Iona Prep               3-16     -13    -4    --    -5.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Collegiate              7- 4       3    15    ---   -7.00
   502 H Dalton                  5- 2       3    10    ---   -7.00
   514 H Poly Prep               2- 9      -7     3    ---  -10.69
   413 A Dalton                  9- 5       4     8    --    -4.04
   521 A Iona Prep               3-16     -13    -4    --    -5.64
   411 H Riverdale Cou Day      12- 5       7     9    -     -2.60
   507 H Horace Mann             8- 7       1     4    -     -3.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Bluffton               11- 4       7     4    +          
   421 H Trinity School          7- 4       3     0    +      2.00
   423 A Fieldston               5-11      -6    -8    +      2.16
   519 H Midwood                10- 7       3     0    +      2.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.93 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.94 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/