Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Terry Ostrander       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7596588    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 417 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (11- 9, 89.5)    13- 2   
 419 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     3- 8   
 423 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 66.6)    17- 1   
 425 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 99.7)     4-11   
 427 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 70.9)    17- 2   
 501 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 89.4)    12- 8   
 503 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 86.9)    13- 7   
 505 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 88.7)     8-10   
 507 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.1)    13- 5   
 509 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.2)    16- 3   
 511 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 87.1)     8- 4   
 512 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.9)    10-12   
 515 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.6)    11- 7   
 517 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 4, 96.2)     9- 8   
 518 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)    13-10   
 522 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 80.4)    14- 1   
 525 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 86.9)    14- 3   
 530 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 99.7)    14-13  o
 601 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Sweet Home             13- 2      11     5    ++     4.22
   419 H Orchard Park            3- 8      -5    -3          -1.98
   423 A North Tonawanda        17- 1      16    28           0.00
   425 A Niagara Wheatfield      4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.56
   427 A Jamestown              17- 2      15    24           0.00
   501 A Clarence               12- 8       4     5          -1.85
   503 H Lancaster              13- 7       6     9    -     -3.93
   505 A Pittsford               8-10      -2     6          n/a  
   507 H West Seneca West       13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   509 A Lockport               16- 3      13    15           0.00
   511 A Williamsville East      8- 4       4     8    --    -4.21
   512 H West Seneca East       10-12      -2     3    --    -5.98
   515 H Williamsville North    11- 7       4     5          -1.31
   517 H Hamburg                 9- 8       1     0           0.36
   518 A Amherst                13-10       3     3          -0.17
   522 H Williamsville South    14- 1      13    16           0.00
   525 H Lancaster              14- 3      11     9           0.07
   530 A Niagara Wheatfield     14-13  o    1    -4    ++     5.44
   601 N Orchard Park            5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Pittsford               8-10      -2     6    ---        
   511 A Williamsville East      8- 4       4     8    --    -4.21
   512 H West Seneca East       10-12      -2     3    --    -5.98
   425 A Niagara Wheatfield      4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.56
   503 H Lancaster              13- 7       6     9    -     -3.93
   507 H West Seneca West       13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   601 N Orchard Park            5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Sweet Home             13- 2      11     5    ++     4.22
   530 A Niagara Wheatfield     14-13  o    1    -4    ++     5.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.08 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.26 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/