Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6882782    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 86.9)    16- 6   
 403 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (19- 4, 99.9)     8-12   
 405 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 81.6)    12- 8   
 410 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (16- 5, 92.7)     5-12   
 412 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (22- 1, 99.9)     8-14   
 414 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 84.4)    12-10   
 417 H Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 76.6)    14- 3   
 419 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-12, 77.7)    17-11   
 424 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (18- 5, 96.3)    12- 7   
 428 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 81.6)    14- 7   
 501 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (16- 5, 92.7)    14- 7   
 503 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 89.2)    13-12   
 508 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-14, 73.5)    16- 7   
 509 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   (12- 7, 87.5)    11- 8   
 511 H Nottingham             NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-17, 71.8)    17- 7   
 515 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (22- 1, 99.9)     3-15   
 518 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 84.4)    13- 6   
 525 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 84.4)    20-10   
 529 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (16- 5, 92.7)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H McQuaid Jesuit         16- 6      10     4          n/a  
   403 H Corning East            8-12      -4    -8          n/a  
   405 A Auburn                 12- 8       4     8    --    -4.49
   410 A Baldwinsville           5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.46
   412 H West Genesee            8-14      -6    -8    +      2.11
   414 A Liverpool              12-10       2     5    -     -3.75
   417 H Henninger              14- 3      11    15           0.00
   419 A Central Square         17-11       6    12    --    -4.00
   424 H Geneva                 12- 7       5    -4          n/a  
   428 H Auburn                 14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   501 H Baldwinsville          14- 7       7     0    +++    7.88
   503 H Fayetteville-Manlius   13-12       1     2          -1.56
   508 A Corcoran               16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   509 A Oswego                 11- 8       3     2           0.38
   511 H Nottingham             17- 7      10    19           0.00
   515 A West Genesee            3-15     -12    -9          -0.22
   518 H Liverpool              13- 6       7     7          -0.41
   525 H Liverpool              20-10      10     7    +      2.59
   529 H Baldwinsville          11-12      -1     0          -0.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Auburn                 12- 8       4     8    --    -4.49
   410 A Baldwinsville           5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.46
   419 A Central Square         17-11       6    12    --    -4.00
   414 A Liverpool              12-10       2     5    -     -3.75
   428 H Auburn                 14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Geneva                 12- 7       5    -4    +++        
   501 H Baldwinsville          14- 7       7     0    +++    7.88
   328 H McQuaid Jesuit         16- 6      10     4    ++         
   403 H Corning East            8-12      -4    -8    ++         
   412 H West Genesee            8-14      -6    -8    +      2.11
   525 H Liverpool              20-10      10     7    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.95 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.92 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/