Region = MN    MSHSL-L          
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9637756    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 H Apple Valley           MN    MSHSL-L ( 4- 8, 83.9)     7- 8  o
 414 A Breck                  MN    MSHSL-C ( 8- 4, 90.4)     6- 5  o
 417 A Bloom Jefferson        MN    MSHSL-L ( 8- 6, 90.0)     7- 8 3o
 419 A Bloom Kennedy          MN    MSHSL-L ( 2-11, 77.2)    12- 3   
 420 A Minnetonka             MN    MSHSL-C (10- 4, 93.5)     6-12   
 424 H Prior Lake             MN    MSHSL-L (10- 4, 90.0)     8- 7   
 426 A Rosemount              MN    MSHSL-3 ( 0-13, 70.9)    11- 0   
 428 H Chaska                 MN    MSHSL-L ( 2-11, 79.5)    14- 6   
 503 H Lakeville              MN    MSHSL-L ( 6- 8, 85.4)     9- 6   
 505 A Academy Holy Angels    MN    MSHSL-C ( 6- 8, 87.2)     7- 6   
 508 H Eagan                  MN    MSHSL-L ( 8- 6, 88.0)     4- 8   
 510 A Eden Prairie           MN    MSHSL-L (15- 2, 97.1)     3- 8   
 514 H Simley                 MN    MSHSL-N ( 1-11, 69.8)    18- 1   
 516 A Eagan                  MN    MSHSL-L ( 8- 6, 88.0)    13- 2   
 518 N Prior Lake             MN    MSHSL-L (10- 4, 90.0)    14- 2   
 524 N Benilde St. Margaret   MN    MSHSL-N (17- 0, 99.9)     4- 9   
 525 N Osseo-Park Center      MN    MSHSL-N (14- 2, 93.7)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Apple Valley            7- 8  o   -1     7    ---   -8.50
   414 A Breck                   6- 5  o    1     0           1.79
   417 A Bloom Jefferson         7- 8 3o   -1     0          -0.66
   419 A Bloom Kennedy          12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   420 A Minnetonka              6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   424 H Prior Lake              8- 7       1     1          -0.39
   426 A Rosemount              11- 0      11    18           0.00
   428 H Chaska                 14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   503 H Lakeville               9- 6       3     5    -     -2.96
   505 A Academy Holy Angels     7- 6       1     2          -1.37
   508 H Eagan                   4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.38
   510 A Eden Prairie            3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.52
   514 H Simley                 18- 1      17    21           0.00
   516 A Eagan                  13- 2      11     1    +++    8.40
   518 N Prior Lake             14- 2      12     0    +++    9.50
   524 N Benilde St. Margaret    4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.39
   525 N Osseo-Park Center       6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Apple Valley            7- 8  o   -1     7    ---   -8.50
   508 H Eagan                   4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.38
   420 A Minnetonka              6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   428 H Chaska                 14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   503 H Lakeville               9- 6       3     5    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Eagan                  13- 2      11     1    +++    8.40
   518 N Prior Lake             14- 2      12     0    +++    9.50
   524 N Benilde St. Margaret    4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.39
   510 A Eden Prairie            3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.52
   525 N Osseo-Park Center       6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.51 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.20 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/