Region = CT 1  SCIAC            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Joe Montini           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.3776550    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (14- 6, 95.2)     0-15   
 410 A Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-13, 77.2)     4- 9   
 417 H Conard-West Hartford   CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.7)     6-10   
 419 A Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 8- 9, 83.6)    11- 6   
 422 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.8)     3-16   
 424 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     8-11   
 426 A Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   ( 3-14, 78.8)    12- 2   
 429 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT 1  FCIAC   (11- 8, 93.6)     4-18   
 506 H East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)    11-12  o
 508 H Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (16- 4, 94.5)     5-14   
 513 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.4)     1-17   
 518 A North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.5)     8- 6   
 520 H West Haven             CT 2  SCIAC   ( 7-10, 83.4)    13- 5   
 521 H Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 89.7)    15-24   
 524 H St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 1-14, 74.0)    13- 3   
 528 A Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 81.8)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Fairfield Prep          0-15     -15   -13           0.00
   410 A Norwich Free Academy    4- 9      -5     2          n/a  
   417 H Conard-West Hartford    6-10      -4     0    --    -4.97
   419 A Newington              11- 6       5    -4    +++    9.21
   422 H Daniel Hand-Madison     3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   424 A Amity Regional          8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.78
   426 A Hamden                 12- 2      10     0          n/a  
   429 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   506 H East Lyme              11-12  o   -1   -18          n/a  
   508 H Barlow-Redding          5-14      -9   -12           1.00
   513 A Branford                1-17     -16   -16           0.00
   518 A North Haven             8- 6       2     0          n/a  
   520 H West Haven             13- 5       8    -1          n/a  
   521 H Cheshire HS            15-24      -9    -8          -0.96
   524 H St Bernard             13- 3      10     7          n/a  
   528 A Guilford                9-13      -4    -2          -1.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Norwich Free Academy    4- 9      -5     2    ---        
   417 H Conard-West Hartford    6-10      -4     0    --    -4.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Newington              11- 6       5    -4    +++    9.21
   424 A Amity Regional          8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.78
   426 A Hamden                 12- 2      10     0    +++        
   506 H East Lyme              11-12  o   -1   -18    +++        
   520 H West Haven             13- 5       8    -1    +++        
   518 A North Haven             8- 6       2     0    +          
   524 H St Bernard             13- 3      10     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.53 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.83 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/