Region = VA    Patr             
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Chris Brengel         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3052216    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Mount Vernon           VA    Natl    (10- 4, 86.3)    16- 7   
 325 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-11, 64.5)    19- 1   
 329 H Hayfield               VA    Patr    ( 4- 8, 83.1)    15-14  o
 405 N Madison                VA    Lib     (10- 7, 90.7)    14-10   
 407 A Herndon                VA    Conc    (12- 4, 93.3)    12-11   
 416 A Annandale              VA    Patr    ( 6- 8, 85.4)    10-14   
 417 N Chantilly              VA    Conc    ( 4-10, 81.3)    15-11   
 420 H West Potomac           VA    Patr    ( 3-11, 77.7)    22-14   
 422 A Lake Braddock          VA    Patr    ( 9- 7, 91.0)     7-10   
 430 A T.C. Williams          VA    Patr    ( 7- 4, 87.0)    10- 9  o
 501 H Robinson               VA    Patr    (12- 4, 98.5)    10-17   
 504 A Edison                 VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 74.5)    11- 6   
 512 H T.C. Williams          VA    Patr    ( 7- 4, 87.0)     7- 6   
 514 A Robinson               VA    Patr    (12- 4, 98.5)     8-13   
 520 A Oakton                 VA    Conc    (16- 2, 99.9)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Mount Vernon           16- 7       9     5    +      3.72
   325 A J.E.B. Stuart          19- 1      18    24           0.00
   329 H Hayfield               15-14  o    1     8    ---   -7.48
   405 N Madison                14-10       4     0    ++     4.37
   407 A Herndon                12-11       1    -4    ++     5.27
   416 A Annandale              10-14      -4     3    ---   -7.63
   417 N Chantilly              15-11       4     8    --    -4.99
   420 H West Potomac           22-14       8    13    -     -2.00
   422 A Lake Braddock           7-10      -3    -1          -1.05
   430 A T.C. Williams          10- 9  o    1     2          -1.05
   501 H Robinson               10-17      -7    -6          -0.06
   504 A Edison                 11- 6       5    14    --    -5.00
   512 H T.C. Williams           7- 6       1     4    -     -3.52
   514 A Robinson                8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.42
   520 A Oakton                  7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Hayfield               15-14  o    1     8    ---   -7.48
   416 A Annandale              10-14      -4     3    ---   -7.63
   417 N Chantilly              15-11       4     8    --    -4.99
   504 A Edison                 11- 6       5    14    --    -5.00
   420 H West Potomac           22-14       8    13    -     -2.00
   512 H T.C. Williams           7- 6       1     4    -     -3.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 N Madison                14-10       4     0    ++     4.37
   407 A Herndon                12-11       1    -4    ++     5.27
   514 A Robinson                8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.42
   319 H Mount Vernon           16- 7       9     5    +      3.72
   520 A Oakton                  7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.30 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.24 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/