![]()
Region = CT 1 SWCIAC Nickname = T Nighthawks Coach = Brian MicenaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.4474945 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Branford CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.4) 1- 8 412 H East Lyme CT 2 ECIAC (21- 1, 99.9) 7-10 415 A Notre Dame-Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 91.5) 11-10 o 420 A Amity Regional CT 1 SCIAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 5-14 422 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 5-10 424 H New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 6, 93.6) 5- 4 427 H Brookfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 8-10, 87.0) 11- 6 428 A New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 93.1) 9- 6 506 H Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 5-10 508 H Conard-West Hartford CT 1 CCIAC ( 4-12, 80.7) 8- 7 2o 513 H Guilford CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 81.8) 11- 7 515 A Immaculate Danbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 2-11, 78.2) 18- 3 518 A Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-12, 85.4) 6-11 520 H Weston CT 2 SWCIAC ( 6-10, 85.1) 12- 2 522 A Fairfield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-11, 85.5) 8- 9 o 524 A New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 4-11 602 H Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 8-11 603 A Amity Regional CT 1 SCIAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 5- 1 605 A Darien CT 1 FCIAC (19- 3, 99.9) 0-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Branford 1- 8 -7 -9 + 2.42 412 H East Lyme 7-10 -3 -11 n/a 415 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 11-10 o 1 -5 n/a 420 A Amity Regional 5-14 -9 -3 -- -5.87 422 H Greenwich 5-10 -5 -5 0.67 424 H New Fairfield 5- 4 1 -5 n/a 427 H Brookfield 11- 6 5 1 n/a 428 A New Milford 9- 6 3 -6 n/a 506 H Barlow-Redding 5-10 -5 -6 1.10 508 H Conard-West Hartford 8- 7 2o 1 7 --- -6.62 513 H Guilford 11- 7 4 6 - -2.54 515 A Immaculate Danbury 18- 3 15 8 n/a 518 A Ridgefield 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.59 520 H Weston 12- 2 10 2 n/a 522 A Fairfield 8- 9 o -1 0 -1.56 524 A New Canaan 4-11 -7 -8 1.63 602 H Barlow-Redding 8-11 -3 -6 + 3.10 603 A Amity Regional 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 7.13 605 A Darien 0-15 -15 -13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Conard-West Hartford 8- 7 2o 1 7 --- -6.62 420 A Amity Regional 5-14 -9 -3 -- -5.87 518 A Ridgefield 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.59 513 H Guilford 11- 7 4 6 - -2.54OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H East Lyme 7-10 -3 -11 +++ 415 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 11-10 o 1 -5 +++ 424 H New Fairfield 5- 4 1 -5 +++ 428 A New Milford 9- 6 3 -6 +++ 520 H Weston 12- 2 10 2 +++ 603 A Amity Regional 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 7.13 410 A Branford 1- 8 -7 -9 + 2.42 427 H Brookfield 11- 6 5 1 + 602 H Barlow-Redding 8-11 -3 -6 + 3.10/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.18 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 77.83 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.41 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 20 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 20 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7