Region = CT 1  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Nighthawks           Coach  =   Brian Micena          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4474945    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.4)     1- 8   
 412 H East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)     7-10   
 415 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 91.5)    11-10  o
 420 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     5-14   
 422 H Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (13- 6, 94.0)     5-10   
 424 H New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 6, 93.6)     5- 4   
 427 H Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8-10, 87.0)    11- 6   
 428 A New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 93.1)     9- 6   
 506 H Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (16- 4, 94.5)     5-10   
 508 H Conard-West Hartford   CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.7)     8- 7 2o
 513 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 81.8)    11- 7   
 515 A Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 2-11, 78.2)    18- 3   
 518 A Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-12, 85.4)     6-11   
 520 H Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 85.1)    12- 2   
 522 A Fairfield              CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 85.5)     8- 9  o
 524 A New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 94.6)     4-11   
 602 H Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (16- 4, 94.5)     8-11   
 603 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     5- 1   
 605 A Darien                 CT 1  FCIAC   (19- 3, 99.9)     0-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Branford                1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.42
   412 H East Lyme               7-10      -3   -11          n/a  
   415 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   11-10  o    1    -5          n/a  
   420 A Amity Regional          5-14      -9    -3    --    -5.87
   422 H Greenwich               5-10      -5    -5           0.67
   424 H New Fairfield           5- 4       1    -5          n/a  
   427 H Brookfield             11- 6       5     1          n/a  
   428 A New Milford             9- 6       3    -6          n/a  
   506 H Barlow-Redding          5-10      -5    -6           1.10
   508 H Conard-West Hartford    8- 7 2o    1     7    ---   -6.62
   513 H Guilford               11- 7       4     6    -     -2.54
   515 A Immaculate Danbury     18- 3      15     8          n/a  
   518 A Ridgefield              6-11      -5     0    --    -5.59
   520 H Weston                 12- 2      10     2          n/a  
   522 A Fairfield               8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.56
   524 A New Canaan              4-11      -7    -8           1.63
   602 H Barlow-Redding          8-11      -3    -6    +      3.10
   603 A Amity Regional          5- 1       4    -3    +++    7.13
   605 A Darien                  0-15     -15   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Conard-West Hartford    8- 7 2o    1     7    ---   -6.62
   420 A Amity Regional          5-14      -9    -3    --    -5.87
   518 A Ridgefield              6-11      -5     0    --    -5.59
   513 H Guilford               11- 7       4     6    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H East Lyme               7-10      -3   -11    +++        
   415 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   11-10  o    1    -5    +++        
   424 H New Fairfield           5- 4       1    -5    +++        
   428 A New Milford             9- 6       3    -6    +++        
   520 H Weston                 12- 2      10     2    +++        
   603 A Amity Regional          5- 1       4    -3    +++    7.13
   410 A Branford                1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.42
   427 H Brookfield             11- 6       5     1    +          
   602 H Barlow-Redding          8-11      -3    -6    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.18 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.83 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/