Centreville                   1 -11


 
                                     Region = VA    Conc             
   Nickname = A Wildcats             Coach  =   Larry Megale          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.6107101    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Fairfax                VA    Lib     ( 6- 5, 90.2)     3-15   
 323 A Annandale              VA    Patr    ( 6- 8, 85.4)     4-12   
 403 N Madison                VA    Lib     (10- 7, 90.7)     6-12   
 406 A Herndon                VA    Conc    (12- 4, 93.3)     8- 9   
 414 A Chantilly              VA    Conc    ( 4-10, 81.3)    14-18   
 420 A Westfield              VA    Conc    ( 7- 9, 89.2)     8-16   
 427 A George Mason           VA    Conc    ( 7- 7, 82.5)    12-10   
 429 A Herndon                VA    Conc    (12- 4, 93.3)     5-11   
 506 H Oakton                 VA    Conc    (16- 2, 99.9)    10-22   
 508 A Thos Jefferson         VA    Conc    (11- 5, 92.7)     2-13   
 510 H Chantilly              VA    Conc    ( 4-10, 81.3)     9-13   
 512 A Thos Jefferson         VA    Conc    (11- 5, 92.7)     5-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Fairfax                 3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   323 A Annandale               4-12      -8    -8           0.17
   403 N Madison                 6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   406 A Herndon                 8- 9      -1   -16    +++    9.00
   414 A Chantilly              14-18      -4    -4           0.04
   420 A Westfield               8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   427 A George Mason           12-10       2    -5    +++    7.25
   429 A Herndon                 5-11      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   506 H Oakton                 10-22     -12   -20           0.00
   508 A Thos Jefferson          2-13     -11   -15           0.00
   510 H Chantilly               9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.44
   512 A Thos Jefferson          5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Chantilly               9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.44


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Herndon                 8- 9      -1   -16    +++    9.00
   427 A George Mason           12-10       2    -5    +++    7.25
   403 N Madison                 6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   429 A Herndon                 5-11      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   420 A Westfield               8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   512 A Thos Jefferson          5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.51 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.08 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7


  
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