List of Probabilities for Virginia
 

Virginia Championship Probabilties

RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings SOS & QWF Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Annes-Belfiel 16 1 1 23 1 25 30.00 2 St Stephens & St 12 5 13 156 29 198 12.00 3 Potomac School 10 5 21 61 20 102 11.00 4 Collegiate Schoo 13 3 6 39 7 52 7.00 5 Bishop Ireton 9 4 5 154 24 183 6.00 6 Langley 10 2 14 6 3 23 6.00 7 James Madison 5 5 10 3 46 59 3.00 8 Meridian 9 0 2 7 2 11 3.00 9 Robinson 9 3 22 34 16 72 3.00 10 West Potomac 10 2 17 22 18 57 3.00 11 Yorktown 10 1 9 12 4 25 3.00 12 St Catherines 7 5 12 2 43 57 2.00 13 Woodson 8 5 32 24 62 118 2.00 14 Paul VI 8 9 42 1 68 111 0.00 15 Catholic HS 7 3 36 48 25 109 0.00 16 Cosby 6 1 63 124 26 213 0.00 17 Covenant School 10 2 25 44 8 77 0.00 18 Nansemond-Suffol 5 6 85 54 108 247 0.00 19 Powhatan 8 0 8 45 9 62 0.00 20 Rockbridge Count 7 1 4 16 23 43 0.00 21 South Lakes 9 3 45 59 40 144 0.00 22 Western Albemarl 7 0 3 28 5 36 0.00 23 Bishop OConnell 9 7 106 92 67 265 0.00 24 Episcopal 3 11 89 14 96 199 0.00 25 Flint Hill Schoo 7 6 87 126 88 301 0.00 26 Madeira School 2 5 146 155 54 355 0.00 27 Albemarle 3 7 62 25 131 218 0.00 28 Alexandria City 7 6 88 65 101 254 0.00 29 Annandale 2 7 128 108 125 361 0.00 30 Atlee 2 5 59 18 114 191 0.00 31 Battlefield 6 5 31 5 63 99 0.00 32 Bayside 4 1 110 146 38 294 0.00 33 Blacksburg 6 2 7 8 44 59 0.00 34 Brentsville Dist 4 4 50 41 81 172 0.00 35 Briar Woods 4 5 136 141 109 386 0.00 36 Broad Run 1 8 122 120 149 391 0.00 37 Brooke Point 2 7 126 109 141 376 0.00 38 Cape Henry Colle 9 2 40 72 14 126 0.00 39 Cave Spring 4 2 76 110 56 242 0.00 40 Centreville 3 9 70 32 102 204 0.00 41 Chantilly 5 7 57 19 115 191 0.00 42 Charlottesville 3 6 121 118 127 366 0.00 43 Chatham Hall 0 4 98 17 75 190 0.00 44 Christiansburg 0 5 152 139 122 413 0.00 45 Clover Hill 2 6 95 55 132 282 0.00 46 Colgan 9 3 30 21 50 101 0.00 47 Colonial Forge 7 4 41 40 85 166 0.00 48 Cox 0 4 113 42 106 261 0.00 49 Culpeper County 4 3 86 107 76 269 0.00 50 Deep Run 2 5 49 10 110 169 0.00 51 Dominion 6 3 38 52 55 145 0.00 52 Douglas Freeman 6 1 28 68 27 123 0.00 53 Eastern View 2 5 131 123 118 372 0.00 54 EC Glass 5 3 46 60 70 176 0.00 55 Edison 3 4 90 83 89 262 0.00 56 Fairfax 6 6 92 75 107 274 0.00 57 Falls Church 6 6 107 106 111 324 0.00 58 Fauquier 1 6 101 67 123 291 0.00 59 First Colonial 2 3 73 49 77 199 0.00 60 Fluvanna County 3 6 134 132 128 394 0.00 61 Forest Park 7 2 61 117 45 223 0.00 62 Foxcroft School 2 6 154 153 133 440 0.00 63 Franklin County 2 7 147 140 142 429 0.00 64 Fredericksburg A 1 3 120 111 82 313 0.00 65 Freedom South Ri 4 7 84 57 119 260 0.00 66 Gainesville 4 6 60 37 126 223 0.00 67 Gar-Field 2 10 127 125 158 410 0.00 68 Glen Allen 3 6 81 50 120 251 0.00 69 Goochland 0 6 155 147 138 440 0.00 70 Grafton Club 0 7 151 137 146 434 0.00 71 Grassfield Club 6 2 34 56 21 111 0.00 72 Great Bridge Clu 2 5 118 112 103 333 0.00 73 Green Run 0 3 123 64 92 279 0.00 74 Hanover 5 1 15 30 31 76 0.00 75 Hayfield 2 6 139 130 134 403 0.00 76 Heritage 2 6 102 66 124 292 0.00 77 Herndon 3 6 100 81 116 297 0.00 78 Hidden Valley 3 3 51 43 83 177 0.00 79 Highland School 3 6 97 91 90 278 0.00 80 Hylton 3 9 125 98 155 378 0.00 81 Independence 6 2 16 27 32 75 0.00 82 James Monroe 10 0 43 121 6 170 0.00 83 James River 3 5 91 36 112 239 0.00 84 Jamestown Club 3 2 37 58 47 142 0.00 85 Jefferson Forest 3 5 93 79 113 285 0.00 86 John Champe 2 7 104 88 139 331 0.00 87 John Handley 2 1 71 136 51 258 0.00 88 John R Lewis 2 6 150 150 135 435 0.00 89 Justice 6 1 67 127 12 206 0.00 90 Kellam 4 1 65 116 39 220 0.00 91 Kempsville 1 3 112 82 91 285 0.00 92 Kettle Run 7 2 33 62 48 143 0.00 93 Lake Braddock 7 4 35 26 64 125 0.00 94 Landstown 1 5 105 53 117 275 0.00 95 Liberty-Bealeton 4 2 44 119 41 204 0.00 96 Lightridge 5 4 66 73 78 217 0.00 97 Loudoun County 5 4 82 97 84 263 0.00 98 Loudoun Valley 5 3 52 69 58 179 0.00 99 Manchester 0 8 135 80 154 369 0.00 100 Marshall 2 10 109 20 151 280 0.00 101 Massaponax 2 9 94 29 156 279 0.00 102 Maury Club 4 5 99 101 98 298 0.00 103 McLean 6 4 68 86 59 213 0.00 104 Mechanicsville 4 3 72 84 79 235 0.00 105 Menchville Club 2 5 142 142 104 388 0.00 106 Midlothian 6 2 48 90 52 190 0.00 107 Mills Godwin 6 2 47 89 49 185 0.00 108 Monacan 3 6 133 131 129 393 0.00 109 Monticello 5 3 96 122 71 289 0.00 110 Mountain View 8 1 23 63 22 108 0.00 111 Mt Vernon 2 7 144 133 143 420 0.00 112 Norfolk Academy 9 4 29 51 15 95 0.00 113 Norfolk Collegia 2 9 80 13 144 237 0.00 114 North Cross Scho 3 3 77 78 65 220 0.00 115 North Stafford 2 7 111 76 145 332 0.00 116 Oakcrest School 2 5 149 149 105 403 0.00 117 Oakton 8 5 27 4 33 64 0.00 118 Ocean Lakes 6 3 58 128 42 228 0.00 119 Orange County 1 8 141 113 152 406 0.00 120 Osbourn 5 4 124 143 93 360 0.00 121 Osbourn Park 0 11 140 94 159 393 0.00 122 Park View 2 6 153 152 136 441 0.00 123 Patrick Henry As 2 4 75 35 100 210 0.00 124 Patrick Henry Ro 5 1 74 129 34 237 0.00 125 Patriot 8 3 39 47 60 146 0.00 126 Potomac Falls 7 0 64 144 10 218 0.00 127 Potomac HS 4 7 114 103 140 357 0.00 128 Princess Anne 5 1 115 151 35 301 0.00 129 Riverbend 5 3 54 71 72 197 0.00 130 Riverside 6 3 20 33 28 81 0.00 131 Rock Ridge 0 7 156 145 147 448 0.00 132 Salem 3 4 56 38 99 193 0.00 133 Salem Virginia B 0 3 143 104 94 341 0.00 134 South County 1 8 119 102 148 369 0.00 135 St Gertrude 1 6 78 15 97 190 0.00 136 St John Paul The 3 4 108 74 86 268 0.00 137 Stafford 5 3 69 93 73 235 0.00 138 Steward School 3 6 138 134 121 393 0.00 139 Stone Bridge 7 0 26 95 11 132 0.00 140 Tabb Club 3 4 103 105 87 295 0.00 141 Tallwood 0 3 145 135 95 375 0.00 142 Thomas Dale 3 6 148 148 130 426 0.00 143 Thomas Jefferson 0 2 137 87 74 298 0.00 144 Trinity Christia 5 3 116 138 80 334 0.00 145 Trinity Episcopa 6 4 19 9 53 81 0.00 146 Tuscarora 1 8 130 96 153 379 0.00 147 Virginia Episcop 7 1 11 31 17 59 0.00 148 Wakefield HS 0 11 129 85 157 371 0.00 149 Warhill Club 5 3 55 77 57 189 0.00 150 Washington-Liber 2 8 132 114 150 396 0.00 151 West Springfield 7 5 83 100 69 252 0.00 152 Westfield 10 3 24 11 19 54 0.00 153 William Byrd 2 6 117 99 137 353 0.00 154 Woodbridge 7 3 79 115 66 260 0.00 155 Woodgrove 5 3 53 70 61 184 0.00 156 York Club 7 1 18 46 13 77 0.00 157 Freedom Woodbrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 158 Unity Reed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 159 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00