List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame Hingh 5 0 2 3 4 9 12.00
2 Central Catholic 5 0 11 16 16 43 8.00
3 Wellesley 4 1 17 28 49 94 8.00
4 Chelmsford 4 0 3 18 2 23 5.00
5 East Longmeadow 5 1 33 73 31 137 4.00
6 Longmeadow 4 0 5 24 23 52 4.00
7 Manchester-Essex 3 1 25 49 57 131 4.00
8 North Andover 6 0 20 47 1 68 4.00
9 Westwood 5 2 30 51 50 131 4.00
10 Concord-Carlisle 1 1 42 2 76 120 3.00
11 Foxborough 5 1 18 35 35 88 3.00
12 Ipswich 5 0 8 34 6 48 3.00
13 Medfield 5 0 22 86 3 111 3.00
14 Newburyport 3 0 28 77 24 129 3.00
15 Reading Memorial 4 0 4 33 8 45 3.00
16 Andover HS 3 3 24 14 87 125 2.00
17 Billerica Memori 2 3 44 20 119 183 2.00
18 Hanover 4 0 13 48 5 66 2.00
19 King Philip Regi 6 0 38 115 7 160 2.00
20 Lexington HS 4 1 51 92 44 187 2.00
21 Lincoln-Sudbury 3 2 16 12 45 73 2.00
22 Walpole 5 2 14 8 48 70 2.00
23 Weston 5 0 48 133 14 195 2.00
24 Weymouth 2 3 45 17 116 178 2.00
25 Woburn Memorial 5 0 31 106 15 152 2.00
26 Duxbury 4 1 12 19 21 52 0.00
27 Hamilton-Wenham 2 0 19 65 32 116 0.00
28 Mansfield 4 0 55 148 17 220 0.00
29 Nantucket 5 0 6 29 10 45 0.00
30 Natick 3 0 72 177 18 267 0.00
31 Nauset Regional 4 1 10 15 46 71 0.00
32 Norwell 3 2 96 123 77 296 0.00
33 Sandwich 4 0 29 99 19 147 0.00
34 Westborough 6 1 53 108 38 199 0.00
35 Abington 1 2 190 190 117 497 0.00
36 Acton-Boxborough 3 1 37 169 34 240 0.00
37 Agawam 1 3 76 30 148 254 0.00
38 Algonquin 2 2 112 121 93 326 0.00
39 Amherst-Pelham 2 0 140 214 28 382 0.00
40 AMSA Charter 2 2 95 44 99 238 0.00
41 Apponequet 2 0 15 54 29 98 0.00
42 Archbishop Willi 2 3 116 100 153 369 0.00
43 Arlington Cathol 2 2 134 160 100 394 0.00
44 Arlington HS 3 3 183 201 118 502 0.00
45 Ashland 3 2 84 97 39 220 0.00
46 Assabet Valley R 0 4 193 175 198 566 0.00
47 Attleboro 4 2 67 88 88 243 0.00
48 Auburn 2 2 129 141 101 371 0.00
49 Barnstable 2 2 68 165 102 335 0.00
50 Bay Path RVT 0 3 197 199 177 573 0.00
51 Bedford HS 2 2 139 154 103 396 0.00
52 Belchertown 2 2 35 10 104 149 0.00
53 Bellingham 1 5 198 182 207 587 0.00
54 Belmont 4 2 56 71 40 167 0.00
55 Beverly 4 2 65 84 80 229 0.00
56 Bishop Feehan 4 3 47 45 128 220 0.00
57 Bishop Fenwick 3 1 59 93 51 203 0.00
58 Bishop Stang 2 4 173 159 185 517 0.00
59 Blackstone Valle 2 3 181 186 154 521 0.00
60 Boston Latin Aca 0 4 207 167 199 573 0.00
61 Boston Latin Sch 2 2 54 40 105 199 0.00
62 Bourne 1 4 196 184 190 570 0.00
63 Braintree 3 2 110 145 81 336 0.00
64 Bridgewater-Rayn 1 4 177 142 186 505 0.00
65 Bristol County A 0 1 215 5 82 302 0.00
66 Bristol-Plymouth 2 3 201 212 155 568 0.00
67 Bromfield 0 4 169 79 191 439 0.00
68 Brookline 0 5 91 13 212 316 0.00
69 Burlington 2 2 62 55 41 158 0.00
70 Cambridge Ridge/ 4 3 157 189 140 486 0.00
71 Canton 1 3 163 130 164 457 0.00
72 Cape Cod Academy 3 1 9 7 52 68 0.00
73 Cardinal Spellma 2 3 188 194 156 538 0.00
74 Chicopee Comp 2 3 195 205 157 557 0.00
75 Chicopee HS 3 0 79 191 20 290 0.00
76 Cohasset 2 1 1 1 30 32 0.00
77 Danvers 1 6 178 163 216 557 0.00
78 Dartmouth 1 4 119 70 192 381 0.00
79 Dedham 4 1 77 138 42 257 0.00
80 Dennis-Yarmouth 1 2 175 78 120 373 0.00
81 Dighton-Rehoboth 2 1 88 90 64 242 0.00
82 Doherty Memorial 2 2 138 152 106 396 0.00
83 Dover-Sherborn 4 1 26 59 43 128 0.00
84 Dracut 0 3 211 135 149 495 0.00
85 East Bridgewater 0 5 205 170 213 588 0.00
86 Essex North Shor 1 3 86 37 165 288 0.00
87 Everett 1 3 209 209 166 584 0.00
88 Fairhaven 4 2 100 147 89 336 0.00
89 Falmouth Academy 0 2 213 64 129 406 0.00
90 Falmouth HS 2 3 83 62 141 286 0.00
91 Fitchburg 0 4 167 187 200 554 0.00
92 Fontbonne Academ 0 2 166 111 130 407 0.00
93 Framingham 0 5 170 80 214 464 0.00
94 Franklin 4 2 73 103 65 241 0.00
95 Georgetown 1 2 58 23 107 188 0.00
96 Gloucester 0 2 208 174 131 513 0.00
97 Grafton 2 2 40 22 90 152 0.00
98 Granby 3 0 120 181 22 323 0.00
99 Greater Lowell T 2 1 172 207 66 445 0.00
100 Greater New Bedf 2 1 81 85 67 233 0.00
101 Groton-Dunstable 3 1 109 171 53 333 0.00
102 Hampshire Region 1 2 151 132 121 404 0.00
103 Haverhill 2 1 117 166 68 351 0.00
104 Hingham 3 2 49 56 83 188 0.00
105 Holliston 0 4 165 76 167 408 0.00
106 Hoosac Valley 3 1 122 183 54 359 0.00
107 Hopedale 1 3 133 114 168 415 0.00
108 Hopkinton 1 4 125 69 158 352 0.00
109 Hudson/Clinton 1 3 171 139 169 479 0.00
110 Hull 3 2 60 124 69 253 0.00
111 Lee/Lenox/Monume 1 2 130 117 122 369 0.00
112 Leominster 2 1 75 104 70 249 0.00
113 Littleton 2 1 36 46 71 153 0.00
114 Lowell 2 2 180 196 108 484 0.00
115 Lowell Catholic 1 4 164 143 193 500 0.00
116 Lunenburg 5 0 23 89 9 121 0.00
117 Lynnfield 4 2 97 140 55 292 0.00
118 Malden 2 2 191 200 109 500 0.00
119 Malden Catholic 3 1 85 137 56 278 0.00
120 Marblehead 1 4 143 87 187 417 0.00
121 Marlborough 1 4 192 172 194 558 0.00
122 Marshfield 3 2 27 26 72 125 0.00
123 Marthas Vineyard 3 2 123 119 94 336 0.00
124 Masconomet 2 3 80 58 123 261 0.00
125 Mashpee 3 2 132 164 95 391 0.00
126 McCann Tech 0 2 118 32 132 282 0.00
127 Medford 1 4 186 198 195 579 0.00
128 Medway 2 2 102 107 110 319 0.00
129 Melrose 2 1 63 4 73 140 0.00
130 Methuen 2 3 158 197 159 514 0.00
131 Middleboro 1 3 184 156 170 510 0.00
132 Milford 1 4 185 158 196 539 0.00
133 Milton HS 0 2 90 11 111 212 0.00
134 Minnechaug Regio 2 3 46 21 142 209 0.00
135 Monomoy 3 3 135 146 150 431 0.00
136 Monson 0 3 206 173 178 557 0.00
137 Montachusett RVT 1 3 155 120 171 446 0.00
138 Mount Greylock R 2 2 115 122 112 349 0.00
139 Mystic Valley Ch 0 4 194 136 201 531 0.00
140 Nashoba Regional 1 3 161 126 124 411 0.00
141 Nashoba Valley T 5 0 113 215 11 339 0.00
142 Needham 2 1 32 42 36 110 0.00
143 New Bedford 3 3 162 180 151 493 0.00
144 Newton North 2 5 98 61 202 361 0.00
145 Newton South 0 3 136 41 179 356 0.00
146 Nipmuc Regional 2 2 107 116 113 336 0.00
147 North Attleborou 2 3 82 60 160 302 0.00
148 North Middlesex 1 4 179 161 197 537 0.00
149 North Quincy 2 4 149 128 188 465 0.00
150 North Reading 2 3 150 149 125 424 0.00
151 Northampton 1 1 89 9 84 182 0.00
152 Northbridge 4 3 104 129 133 366 0.00
153 Northeast RVT 1 3 202 202 172 576 0.00
154 Norton 2 5 153 125 206 484 0.00
155 Norwood 4 2 103 151 58 312 0.00
156 Notre Dame Worce 3 1 159 178 59 396 0.00
157 Oakmont Regional 3 3 160 179 143 482 0.00
158 Old Colony RVT 1 2 148 204 126 478 0.00
159 Old Rochester Re 3 1 21 27 60 108 0.00
160 Oliver Ames 4 2 105 153 85 343 0.00
161 Peabody Veterans 2 2 66 72 78 216 0.00
162 Pembroke 3 2 145 176 86 407 0.00
163 Pentucket Region 2 2 52 63 114 229 0.00
164 Pittsfield/Tacon 1 5 156 101 208 465 0.00
165 Plymouth North 4 3 50 43 96 189 0.00
166 Plymouth South 0 4 204 168 203 575 0.00
167 Pope Francis 3 1 61 96 61 218 0.00
168 Quincy 3 4 108 98 180 386 0.00
169 Revere 0 3 212 210 181 603 0.00
170 Rockland 0 4 174 81 204 459 0.00
171 Salem 0 3 176 206 182 564 0.00
172 Saugus 3 2 168 211 97 476 0.00
173 Scituate 1 3 93 66 173 332 0.00
174 Seekonk 1 3 210 203 174 587 0.00
175 Sharon 0 5 144 53 215 412 0.00
176 Shawsheen Valley 3 1 94 185 62 341 0.00
177 Shepherd Hill 4 3 106 131 144 381 0.00
178 Shrewsbury 1 3 137 91 145 373 0.00
179 Silver Lake 1 3 101 75 134 310 0.00
180 Somerset Berkley 0 3 216 216 135 567 0.00
181 Somerville 4 2 147 193 74 414 0.00
182 South Hadley 2 3 92 68 161 321 0.00
183 South Shore RVT 5 0 126 213 12 351 0.00
184 Southeastern RVT 0 2 189 118 136 443 0.00
185 Springfield Cent 0 2 142 74 137 353 0.00
186 St Bernards 2 0 111 127 33 271 0.00
187 St John Paul II 3 3 57 31 152 240 0.00
188 St Marys Lynn 2 2 69 50 115 234 0.00
189 Stoneham 1 3 71 25 146 242 0.00
190 Stoughton 1 5 152 94 209 455 0.00
191 Sturgis Charter 0 3 214 208 183 605 0.00
192 Sturgis Charter 1 0 199 195 37 431 0.00
193 Swampscott 5 0 87 188 13 288 0.00
194 Tahanto Regional 3 2 114 150 91 355 0.00
195 Tantasqua 4 1 43 83 47 173 0.00
196 Taunton 0 5 182 95 210 487 0.00
197 Tewksbury Memori 3 3 78 67 127 272 0.00
198 Tri-County RVT 1 3 131 82 175 388 0.00
199 Triton Regional 0 2 200 157 138 495 0.00
200 Tyngsborough 1 3 146 105 162 413 0.00
201 Upper Cape Cod R 2 1 74 102 75 251 0.00
202 Ursuline Academy 3 1 34 113 25 172 0.00
203 Wachusett 3 1 7 6 26 39 0.00
204 Wahconah Regiona 0 4 141 52 205 398 0.00
205 Wakefield Memori 2 3 121 110 163 394 0.00
206 Waltham 2 4 128 112 189 429 0.00
207 Watertown 3 2 39 38 98 175 0.00
208 Wayland 1 3 64 36 147 247 0.00
209 West Springfield 4 2 41 57 92 190 0.00
210 Westfield 3 0 70 144 27 241 0.00
211 Westford Academy 3 1 99 162 63 324 0.00
212 Whitman-Hanson R 2 2 124 134 79 337 0.00
213 Whittier RVT 0 2 203 192 139 534 0.00
214 Wilmington 1 5 187 155 211 553 0.00
215 Winchester 1 4 154 109 176 439 0.00
216 Winthrop 0 3 127 39 184 350 0.00